Delaware Liberal

The October 28, 2016 Thread

PRESIDENT
NATIONAL–ABC News Tracking–CLINTON 51, Trump 44
NATIONAL–Economist/YouGov–CLINTON 46, Trump 41
NATIONAL–CNBC–CLINTON 47, Trump 37
NATIONAL–Pew–CLINTON 50, Trump 43
NORTH CAROLINA–Quinnipiac–CLINTON 47, Trump 43
IOWA–Quinnipiac–CLINTON 44, TRUMP 44
GEORGIA–Quinnipiac–TRUMP 44, Clinton 43
NEW HAMPSHIRE–UMass Amherst/WBZ–CLINTON 43, Trump 38
PENNSYLVANIA–NY Times/Siena–CLINTON 46, Trump 39
MISSOURI–Remington Research–TRUMP 50, Clinton 39
MICHIGAN–Detroit Free Press–CLINTON 41, Trump 34
MICHIGAN–FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell–CLINTON 48, Trump 42
WASHINGTON–Univ. of Washington–CLINTON 53, Trump 39
LOUISIANA–SMOR–TRUMP 50, Clinton 35
MASSACHUSETTS–Boston Globe/Suffolk–CLINTON 57, Trump 25
TEXAS–UT/Texas Tribune–TRUMP 45, Clinton 42
MISSOURI–Mason-Dixon–TRUMP 47, Clinton 42
ARIZONA–Saguaro Strategies–CLINTON 48, Trump 46

A new Suffolk University/Boston Globe poll in Massachusetts finds Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) leading former Red Sox pitcher Curt Schilling in a U.S. Senate race, 58% to 24%.

A new Associated Press-GfK poll finds that 64% of Donald Trump’s supporters say they’re more likely to have serious doubts about the accuracy of the vote count if the Republican nominee is not the victor. By contrast, 69% of Hillary Clinton’s supporters say they’ll accept the outcome if Trump wins.

Tammy Duckworth is of mixed race heritage. Her mother is a Thai immigrant. I am not sure the heritage of Duckworth’s father (from the picture, it looks like he could be African American or Caucasian), but his family has been in America since the Revolution. Indeed, his family fought along side George Washington during the war. But racist Republican Senator Mark Kirk assumed that could not be so, since Duckworth was an Asian, and therefore that means her parents were Asian, which means they can’t be Americans and they could not have been here in the 1700’s.

Fuck you Mark Kirk. Your coming defeat will be delicious.

“Speaker Paul Ryan’s suddenly shaky future as House speaker is already prompting closed-door talk among House Republicans about who’d take over if he steps aside or is spurned by archconservatives,” Politico reports.

“Between his falling out with Donald Trump and his ongoing standoff with the House Freedom Caucus, some Republicans are speculating that Ryan might just step aside if he can’t muster the votes. The question preoccupying everyone: Who would replace him if that happens?”

I don’t think Biden will take it.

“Donald Trump’s claim that the 2016 presidential election is ‘rigged’ against him has become a central part of his closing argument to voters in the final days of the campaign, as the GOP nominee insists that a growing range of ‘corrupt’ public institutions are to blame for his sharply narrowing path the White House,” the Washington Post reports.

“As he heads into a potential loss on Nov. 8, Trump has expanded the scale and scope of his accusations to include Democratic rival Hillary Clinton, the media, establishment leaders from both parties and unidentified ‘global financial powers.’”

S.E. Cupp says Trump has set the GOP back decades: “As a conservative woman who wanted very much to support the Republican nominee, it’s been a deeply disappointing year and a half. After helping the Republican National Committee address some of the troubling deficiencies the party faced after 2012, as outlined in its so-called autopsy report, and witnessing some real progress in our outreach to women in the ensuing years, I did not expect an egomaniacal arsonist to come along and set all that ablaze.”

“Mr. Trump has sent the party back to the Dark Ages — or at least the 1950s — with his provincial notions of masculinity and misogynist notions of femininity, his cartoonish bombast, his vulgar jocularity and his open hostility to women who question him. In short, he’s reaffirmed the worst stereotypes about Republicans that Democrats have pushed for decades.”

“Senate Republicans are choosing sides ahead of a brutal conflict over how to handle the lingering Supreme Court vacancy, with Jeff Flake firing back at a suggestion by Ted Cruz that the party could indefinitely block any nominee from Hillary Clinton,” Politico reports.

“The internal GOP battle over what to do about Merrick Garland — President Barack Obama’s choice for the court — and any future Clinton nominee will dominate the lame duck session of Congress after the election. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) is holding the seat vacant for the next president — but Cruz has suggested that Republicans could continue to block Democrats from appointing a new nominee for much longer.”

“And just thinking to myself right now, we should just cancel the election and just give it to Trump, right? What are we even having it for? What are we having it for?” — Donald Trump, quoted by Politico. Talking about himself in the third person? Check. Wanting to be a dictator? Check.

Matt Bai explains how the Trump campaign’s nightly news show on Facebook isn’t only about reaching Trump’s voter; it’s about consolidating his new consumer base, too, which he describes as the “working-class consumer who watched his show and came to his rallies, who aspires to wealth but can never afford a room at the Trump International.”

“Trump’s feed, streaming live from the ‘war room’ in Trump Tower, is remarkable in that it self-consciously mimics everything about your conventional cable show. There’s lively banter between the hosts, a parade of genial guests who appear to have just dropped in, a platinum blond bomb-throwing commentator with no particular qualifications in anything. There’s breaking coverage of Trump’s evening rally, perfectly timed to make air. It shows you, basically, how easy it is for any moron with a laptop and a dream to perfectly imitate the cheerful vacuousness of most TV news.”

A must-read Businessweek piece explains how Donald Trump’s campaign has “three major voter suppression operations under way” aimed at three groups: idealistic white liberals, young women, and African Americans.

On Oct. 24, Trump’s team began placing spots on select African American radio stations. In San Antonio, a young staffer showed off a South Park-style animation he’d created of Clinton delivering the “super predator” line (using audio from her original 1996 sound bite), as cartoon text popped up around her: “Hillary Thinks African Americans are Super Predators.” The animation will be delivered to certain African American voters through Facebook “dark posts”—nonpublic posts whose viewership the campaign controls so that, as Parscale puts it, “only the people we want to see it, see it.” The aim is to depress Clinton’s vote total. “We know because we’ve modeled this,” says the official. “It will dramatically affect her ability to turn these people out.”

Rick Hasen: “Standing by itself, what the campaign describes may be odious, but it is not illegal. There is no law against negative campaigning, or discouraging people from voting through legal means (not by, say, giving misinformation about where to vote).”

“But the Trump campaign also has promoted ‘poll watching’ and other operations which many see as a sign of voter intimidation. Trump has engaged in so much of this activity, that the DNC is trying to use it to extend the consent decree against the RNC for voter intimidation activity extended for up to 8 more years. These brazen statements from the Trump campaign marginally increase the chances of success of that effort, because they confirm that the campaign has an interest in making it harder for likely Democratic voters, including minority voters, to come out to the polls and vote.”

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