I mean, real promising. At least in early voting and absentee voting, the D is not only outperforming the registration figures by huge margins, he is doing well enough to win the district if the day of election vote totals do only about 2/3rds as well.
I know it’s early, but the early results are stunning. He’s up 58%-41%. The same day votes, though, are considered more likely to skew R.