Lopez was/is a coward
It is going to be disgusting to hear people put laurels on Ernie’s cowardly noggin. Once regarded as a “different” Republican, he spent the Trump years in hiding.
Also – I’m sure there is a sordid side to his quitting. But I’m too disgusted by his public behavior to care much about his private shit.
Do what know what this district will look like by 2022? Could that have influenced it was well?
I don’t know. He’d have rated as pretty safe, barring some fucking insane Q-anon primary.
Hell… fucking insane Q-anon primary would be more likely to scare him off than the idea that he might lose to a Democrat.
While we DIDN’T know what the district would look like in 2022, you can bet it will look more favorable for a D now. The district as currently constituted will almost certainly have to be reduced in size due to population growth. Excise the most R areas, and I think the D’s will be the favorites to pick up this seat.
The D’s will almost inevitably find a candidate with strong support in the LGBTQ community. I’ll take a closer look next week.
Dave McBride comeback???????????? Or Billy Oberle????? or Tiny Tony!!!??? Check the list of formers living in the district…. The stuff of nightmares:)
Don’t they normally find out who’s interested in the seat before setting the boundaries?
Usually they find out who’s considering a primary challenge, and they draw them OUT of the district.
In this case, I’m sure that there will be lots of interest from D’s. It might be tougher for the R’s to find a strong candidate to hold the seat–especially if, as Jason suggested, a Trump zombie seeks the seat. Doesn’t fit this demographic.
Geography is our friend in this case. The ocean and bay will make it nearly impossible to shrink the district to the new SD population average without benefitting D’s. All of you folks in the various progressive recruiting groups pleas start scouring your virtual Rolodexes!!!!
Second that,Joe.
Letting this go to some old school loser would be as bad as Lopez staying put.
Worse, possible because they’s be mobbed-up with Pete.
Speaking of Pete – does he look to move up to the Senate? You don’t have to run as often?
No. Word is that he’s nearing the end of his run in the House. Probably not in 2022, though…
He would not even be in leadership in the Senate.
A name that has been floated is Joe Farley. If that’s not sufficient incentive to find a solid progressive I don’t know what would be!
Who would EVER float his name besides Farley. Anne, perhaps?
That district will not be satisfied with a retread from NCC.
I have ZERO concerns about the D’s finding a real good candidate.
And, I’m looking forward to Lauren Witzke seeking to interfere in an R primary.
Hoping you are right and Joe is on the north side of 75. Witzke and Rich Collins are likely in a feverish competition for most crazy wing nut candidate. My most likely to run MAGA candidate is Abraxas Hudson from Lewes of the “Hudson Fields” Hudson’s:)
The 6th is no slam dunk for any Republican. He had well-funded opponents in Andy Staton in 2012 and Claire Snyder-Hall ins 2016. In 2020 former Sussex County Administrator Dave Baker garnered 48% of the vote. Lopez had prevailed because he is well known and involved in the community and has conducted himself as a “moderate Republican”. That party is unlikely to find someone like that able to run and win a Primary.
There are plenty of Democrats now thinking of running. The new district is most certainly going to be more favorable to a Democrat as the district must shrink, giving up its more rural, Republican, electoral districts and retaining the progressive Democratic Dewey Beach-Rehoboth Beach-Lewes core.
I personally do not believe the Primary Democratic voters will select someone who has not been involved in the community, even if they have had a “vacation home” here; no matter what they may have accomplished elsewhere. I have had numerous communication in the last 24 hours with people down here. No one has mentioned Dave McBride, or Joe Farley (or even Lewes resident Bob Gilligan).
All this agreement….. my serious post above is right on the same track…… But Gilligan, McBride, Farley and Tiny Tony have over 300 years of Delaware residence:)
But no constituency down there. None held statewide office, so at best their names would be vaguely familiar. And it’s not as if any of them were known for effective campaigning even when they were in power.
What’s McBride going to run on, bringing back Red Hannah?
I also believe that the candidate will have to have strong support in the LGBTQ community.
Andy Staton may have decent name ID because of all of his real estate signs down there. As I recall, he ran as a progressive candidate. Looking forward to seeing who steps forward.
He’s certain to be mentioned. If he’s interested, he has solid name recognition. Someone to keep an eye on…
Nice guy. But I doubt he would be a very good candidate. I’d have expected him to try to follow up a little more on his last run if he had some inclination.
Snyder-Hall ran against Lopez in 2014.
She’d be good.