Election Analysis
The nothing that Biden has accomplished is too far to the left and that scared the white Virginia people. So now he needs to be mean to AOC in public and accomplish even more nothing, so Democrats can run on nothing in the mid-terms and win by not being scary leftists.
Put me on TV! I can do this.
#winning
You can wear LSU memorabilia, sit on your couch, and blame D losses on ‘Woke Culture’.
Which is precisely what reptilian Cajun James Carville did:
https://thehill.com/homenews/media/579991-carville-blames-stupid-wokeness-for-democratic-losses
My analysis is barely an exaggeration.
So now he needs to [push back against the left] and [pair down his ambitions] , so Democrats can [appeal to the center] in the mid-terms and win by not being scary leftists.
Only minor edits bring it into the mainstream.
And, obviously, it’s the media that keeps trotting out these Clintonite corpses. They are desperate to keep the fear alive, and to that end will do everything in their power to elect Trump and Trumpists.
More important that turning off the TV is getting off social media, which subsists by pushing out “news” stories to keep both your anxiety level and screen usage at maximum levels.
Whether you want to accept it, Carville is right. Concentrating on extremes and blaming suburban whites alienates and you and the suburbanites from the Democratic Party. Sometimes progressives, like anyone else, were wrong.
Overall, I like DL but you guys don’t seem to attract anyone else to your political ideology. You guys seem angry for all the wrong reasons.
Pray tell, what are the right reasons?
You contention, I notice, is backed up by nothing beyond your opinion, which is just another way of saying your biases.
Polls in Virginia showed that white people are scared of Critical Race Theory, even though they don’t know what it is. To them, it is simply code for forcing white to acknowledge that even after Blacks were given citizenship, they were treated as second-class citizens.
https://changeresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/Virginia-Crooked-Toplines-August-2021.pdf
Virginia Democrats ran a corporatist Clinton retread, but Democrats lost because — let me see if I’m reading you correctly — progressives exist. They certainly weren’t the ones setting the agenda in the Virginia election. Republicans did that, by scaring white people. So exactly what are Democrats supposed to do? Muzzle all progressives? Do you really think that will work as you intend?
Let’s just face the truth. I know it might be a shock to you, but the evidence shows that no matter who the Democrats run, white people in the US are scared shitless about Black people gaining power, even though they really don’t have any.
The sooner you face the truth, the sooner you’ll be free.
The reason I’m angry is that people like you are lousy allies. If you’ve got a better reason, let’s hear it.
Carville is wrong. He’s trying to somehow ascribe blame for the loss of a Clintonian corporate Democrat onto everybody BUT the Clintonian corporate Democrat.
Truth is, McAuliffe couldn’t come up with an effective strategy for persuading Black and minority voters to come out in droves to vote for him. I mean, why should they? The ‘D’ after his name? Just like Hillary. The angry whites were always gonna come out.
The lesson that SHOULD be learned is that corporate D’s don’t engender wide support among the electorate, and ESPECIALLY among Democrats. Hey, it also explains Jersey.
I don’t know whether there are any lessons to learn from this election or not. But the I do know that the panic is overblown. In both 1993 and 2009, the R governor candidate trounced the D candidate in Virginia. And the R beat the D incumbent in New Jersey. And yet, Clinton and Obama both cruised to reelection afterwards. These off-year elections don’t predict the presidential elections or accurately reflect the strength of the Democratic party overall. They just show that Republicans are usually better about turning out during off years.
I’ve heard a little of that, but way more “gotta push back against the left” stuff. Probably 20:1
Democrats still haven’t figured out how to call out and defuse Republican demagoguery. Why the F did Democrats allow their elections to be fought over vaccines to end a pandemic, and “critical race theory” which isn’t even in our schools.
As noted the corporate media is repeating their performance of the 2020 election and finding fault with all things Biden, think we all saw this as inevitable, but it was still dramatically better then four more of Trump. Do I expect ‘better” from the Dem establishment? Hell No! Their little better then the Republicans at this point and have no clue as to how to do better, having been engulfed by the “Fog Of Politics” long ago.
So our election choices are still between toxic Republicans or feckless Democrats. Every once in a while there is a Dem bright spot but not enough.
Sorry guys Carvile is right.
And AOC should shut the fuck up on her criticism. If she ran in Virginia she woulda lost by 20 points. Don’t know how to break the news gently. You need a big tent/coalition to win.
You won’t win nationally with AOC or statewide with whack jobs like Eric Morrison who just do himself a favor and get off the internet. What an impulsive undisciplined keyboard warrior.
Fuck Trump. That’s all. I’m out
Thank you for your cogent, well-considered, analysis. Full of false choices, I might add. Like: Either you get Terry McAuliffe or you get Eric Morrison. False choice, lazy comp.
Hey Listen I enjoy the banter on here and agree with a lot
But some of the takes here on electoral politics are so bad. Like a drunk uncle at thanksgiving you tell to stop with the fireball.
Might be with you on the issues but you guys have no idea how to win elections
Interesting–in my career with the General Assembly, I helped people win elections, including at least a couple who didn’t deserve being elected.
And I helped out on several of the successful progressive campaigns in 2020.
But feel free to post your fact-free opinions. Doesn’t cost you anything.
Good for you. It’s incredible some here still think “out progressive” each other is a successful strategy in Delaware.
Scarane got STOMPED
Kerri lost
People like Kathy McGuiness wins a primary.
Progressive Chris Johnson got embarrassed in his AG bid.
BHL wins the LTG race
Ok so maybe the local level? What big wins? Yes Eric Morrison won. Yea Madinah won by 40 votes or whatever it is. What else?? Sarah McBride faced no competition in a blue seat. Marie Pinkey won by a few points. Ok you got some Ws at the local level. Last I checked tho that’s not some gravitating earthquake.
A lot of Delaware Dems are the Brady’s of the world. Yes. It’s true. They vote dem because they are old school and union guys. These people are annoying as fuck but you also can’t lose them to the GOP in Delaware unless you want to commit electoral suicide.
The state js different then Bear or North Wilmington. Get your head out of your asses and travel Kent sussex southern new castle county Delaware city, elsemere. It’s not a bastion of liberalism.
You guys really sound ridiculous sometimes going for these hot takes calling names for the shock effect and keep losing race after race. Take an ego check.
You guys promote a podcast by some fat dude who smokes weed in his basement. And people embarrass themselves by going on it.
Rethink your life choices. And grow up.
I almost didn’t respond to this idiocy b/c it speaks for itself. But, OK.
We have a progressive AG. In fact, if you look at the results of that 2018 AG primary, there were three progressive candidates. They finished 1, 2, 3. The FOP guy finished 4th out of 4. With less than 7% of the vote. 93% of D primary voters chose more progressive candidates. While I supported Chris, I’m thrilled with the job that Kathleen Jennings has done. Should she run for governor, I’ll likely support her. And she’ll wipe the floor with BHL. Chris is now on Wilmington City Council, where he’s helping to bring order out of that traditional chaos.
You either deliberately underplayed the 2020 primary results, or you tried to make a point that was not there to be made. If you’ve bothered to read the blog, my focus has been primarily on the Delaware General Assembly and the possibility of having progressive leadership in both the House and the Senate. We now have that in the Senate, thanks to Marie Pinkney’s defeat of Dave McBride, Sarah McBride’s ascension to the chamber, and Kyle Evans Gay’s win over Cathy Cloutier. Downplay them all you’d like, but they all happened, and the NRA/Cop-supporting leaders were deposed or defeated.
You underplayed the House results as well, not even mentioning Larry Lambert’s overwhelming win against centrist incumbent Ray Seigfried. Madinah defeated just the type of union non-entity you claim to be a necessity in the House. The only reason THAT race was close was b/c a candidate with an African name filed at the deadline. Say what you want about Eric Morrison, but he DESTROYED Earl Jaques, no squeaker there. Hey, he’s not my fave either, but facts are facts. The more progressive candidate also won to fill the seat vacated by retiring DINO Quinn Johnson.
My goal has been to have sufficiently progressive leadership to enact progressive legislation in Delaware. We now have just such leadership in the State Senate, and we’re not far from achieving that in the House. There are targets aplenty in 2022.
I’ve never said nor implied that there won’t be less progressive members of the Caucus, just that we’re close to critical mass to finally deep-six the Cop Cabal.
As to Kathleen McGuiness winning by getting less than 42% in the Democratic primary in 2018, is that something you’re proud of? We opposed her precisely b/c her ethical bankruptcy was there for anyone to see if they paid attention. How do her odds stack up for 2022?
As to:
“The state js different then Bear or North Wilmington. Get your head out of your asses and travel Kent sussex southern new castle county Delaware city, elsemere. It’s not a bastion of liberalism…”
well, there are MORE than enough areas where people consistently vote for progressive candidates to comprise a legislative majority, and to elect statewide candidates. Look at Sean Lynn, Trey Paradee, and, on helping the ‘little guy’, Bruce Ennis. They’ve done a lot of good in Dover. You don’t have to classify them as ‘progressives’ to see that. As to Delaware City, the issue isn’t progressivism, the issue is whether their elected officials are selling out their constituents. For Nicole Poore and Val Longhurst (Val drew herself OUT of Delaware City after pushing for the Underwater City at Ft. DuPont), the issue is ethics or lack of same.
Just one more point. I ADMIT I don’t know it all. In fact some things I thought I knew about primaries no longer apply. Specifically, many of the successful insurgent candidates in 2020 rewrote the playbook. The traditional playbook was to identify those who vote in off-year elections, and to focus all your resources towards them. Candidates like Marie Pinkney, Madinah Wilson-Anton, Eric Morrison and Larry Lambert, to name but a few, instead sought out those who had not traditionally voted in primaries, identified WHY they hadn’t voted in primaries in the past, and mobilized them to vote. Expanding the electorate, what a unique concept.
BTW, the guy who produces the podcast ‘by some fat dude who smokes weed in his basement’? He was instrumental in that expand the electorate effort. Just thought you’d like to know.
Finally, continue with ad hominem attacks at your own risk. You have been warned.
As I said in my first response, there is nothing to back up your opinions but your biases. Therefore they are worthless.
As are you. What have you produced, in your basement or elsewhere? Nothing. You are perfect Democrats.
Assholes like that can only hide behind some idiotic taxonomy they heard about once. I don’t think that person. has the brains enough to do it, but if he did I’d suggest he replace “progressive” and “liberal” with the phrase “candidates who favor some tangible benefit for the vast majority of people”
These Democrats are like sports fans who, in Jerry Seinfeld’s memorable phrase, are rooting for laundry.
What’s the difference between a Clinton–Coons-Corporate Democrat and a Republican? Nothing, really, but the D on the laundry, and patronization of rather than demonization of progressives — until their philosophy, which boils down to “enrich me, not that guy” loses, in which case they demonize progressives just as much as any Republican does.
I can’t speak for others, but I’d rather be stabbed in the front than the back.