My tabulation of “left” and “right” may grossly oversimplify where these party’s line up. But it looks like the “left” has more voters in the aggregate.
 Emmanuel Macron LREM (LEFT) |
27.8% | 9,784,985 |
|---|---|---|
 Marine Le Pen
RN (RIGHT)
|
23.1% | 8,135,456 |
 Jean-Luc Mélenchon
LFI (LEFT)
|
22% | 7,714,574 |
 Éric Zemmour
Reconquête (RIGHT)
|
7.1% | 2,485,757 |
 Valérie Pécresse
LR (RIGHT)
|
4.8% | 1,679,359 |
 Yannick Jadot
EELV (LEFT)
|
4.6% | 1,628,249 |
 Jean Lassalle
Résistons (RIGHT)
|
3.1% | 1,101,643 |
Regarding Le Pen’s chances, our man in Paris says:
We’ll see. But I don’t think she will. Was surprised that Hidalgo (Socialist Party) endorsed him; Mèlenchon didn’t say “vote for Macron,” but he did say “don’t vote for Le Pen.” The only way Macron loses is if too many people stay home, a la Hillary, and they tend not to stay home if it looks like Le Pen will win.
The right-wing threat appears to have been overhyped by English-speaking media.