DL Open Thread: Saturday, August 10, 2024
Oh, man. Got my work cut out for me next week as we wade through the campaign finance reports.
I start today, though, with a blank canvas (oops, almost spelled it canvass, which is what I’m doing after I write this Open Thread and get caffeinated). Let’s color it in.
‘Dog Bites Man’ Headline:
The GOP’s new worry: Trump can’t drive a coherent message
Ya think?:
Trump has for years been prone to tangents and riffs and generalities, but even by his standards this session was unfocused. And that was despite the apparent reason for calling the news conference in the first place: to take on an opponent who was rising in the polls.
Trump said repeatedly that Harris and Walz were bad on issues, but often without saying how or even clearly describing the issue. He dwelled on process and polling, as well as Biden and Harris’s replacement of him, rather than Harris herself. And he for whatever reason didn’t even summon Walz’s name — referring to him as Harris’s pick, the “new governor from Minnesota” (Walz was first elected six years ago), the “Minnesota gentleman” and Harris’s “new friend.” (Sometimes politicians avoid naming their opponents while lodging attacks, but Trump was perfectly happy to cite Harris by name, repeatedly.)
He. Can’t. Remember. His. Name. There. Said it.
Remember those NYTimes Siena Polls We Couldn’t Stand? 538 ranks them as the most accurate in the nation. And now:
Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald J. Trump in three crucial battleground states, according to new surveys by The New York Times and Siena College, the latest indication of a dramatic reversal in standing for Democrats after President Biden’s departure from the presidential race remade it.
Ms. Harris is ahead of Mr. Trump by four percentage points in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan, 50 percent to 46 percent among likely voters in each state. The surveys were conducted from Aug. 5 to 9.
The polls, some of the first high-quality surveys in those states since Mr. Biden announced he would no longer run for re-election, come after nearly a year of surveys that showed either a tied contest or a slight lead for Mr. Trump over Mr. Biden.
If these results hold, pretty sure that’s ballgame right there. Y’know, if this continues, it might not hurt to make a play in Texas. Biden only lost the state by 5 points. And that was back when they both were (more or less) lucid. If Trump’s support is melting down, why not play in a state where a D Senate candidate has a fighting chance?
When You’ve Lost The White Supremacists…:
White supremacist, Hitler fan, and far-right political pundit Nick Fuentes shockingly revoked his support from Donald Trump’s campaign early Friday, announcing on social media that he and his allies believed that the presidential bid is headed for a “catastrophic loss.”
“Tonight I declared a new Groyper War against the Trump campaign,” Fuentes wrote on X (formerly Twitter) shortly after midnight, referring to a group of far-right activists known as groypers.
Fuentes explained that he and his far-right squad of online trolls “support Trump” but that they view his 2024 campaign as being “hijacked” by lobbyists, consultants, and donors that had aided Trump’s 2016 Republican opponents. All in all, Fuentes believed they were “blowing it.”
“Without serious changes we are headed for a catastrophic loss,” Fuentes wrote.
“This is NOT a purity spiral, this is about living up to the AMERICA FIRST credo put forth by Trump in 2016 which will ensure VICTORY in 2024,” Fuentes continued. “On Monday I will present a detailed statement of the facts, a mission statement, and a plan of action on my Rumble channel. STAY TUNED.”
Groyper? Purity Spiral? Is Esperanto finally the Language Of The Land?
Oh, Lordy, We Have Tapes! Of Project 2025 Training Sessions:
Project 2025, the controversial playbook and policy agenda for a right-wing presidential administration, has lost its director and faced scathing criticism from both Democratic groups and former President Donald Trump. But Project 2025’s plan to train an army of political appointees who could battle against the so-called deep state government bureaucracy on behalf of a future Trump administration remains on track.
One centerpiece of that program is dozens of never-before-published videos created for Project 2025’s Presidential Administration Academy. The vast majority of these videos — 23 in all, totaling more than 14 hours of content — were provided to ProPublica and Documented by a person who had access to them.
The Project 2025 videos coach future appointees on everything from the nuts and bolts of governing to how to outwit bureaucrats. There are strategies for avoiding embarrassing Freedom of Information Act disclosures and ensuring that conservative policies aren’t struck down by “left-wing judges.” Some of the content is routine advice that any incoming political appointee might be told. Other segments of the training offer guidance on radically changing how the federal government works and what it does.
In one video, Bethany Kozma, a conservative activist and former deputy chief of staff at the U.S. Agency for International Development in the Trump administration, downplays the seriousness of climate change and says the movement to combat it is really part of a ploy to “control people.”
A review of the training videos shows that 29 of the 36 speakers have worked for Trump in some capacity — on his 2016-17 transition team, in the administration or on his 2024 reelection campaign. The videos appear to have been recorded before the resignation two weeks ago of Paul Dans, the leader of the 2025 project, and they are referenced on the project’s website. The Heritage Foundation said in a statement at the time of Dans’ resignation that it would end Project 2025’s policy-related work, but that its “collective efforts to build a personnel apparatus for policymakers of all levels — federal, state, and local — will continue.”
You can watch all 14 hours of these sessions designed to subvert government on Pro Publica. Should you so choose. Feel free to report back.
Olympic Athletes Can Barely Afford Rent? That must change:
Many viewers tune in to the Olympics for these wholesome stories—an individual fighting through adversity to pull themself up onto the medal podium. But should we consider why these arduous journeys are needed in the first place?
There are some athlete groups that have been questioning this idea. Global Athlete, which describes itself as “an international athlete-led movement,” is among them. According to the organization’s website, its members are “collectively addressing the imbalance of power between athletes and administrators” by pushing for better pay and working conditions, as well as rights like freedom of expression.
Rob Koehler, the director general at Global Athlete, said in an interview that most of the problems the group is confronting come from the “outdated model” used by the International Olympic Committee, the non-governmental sports organization in charge of organizing the Summer, Winter, and Youth Olympic Games.
“The majority of athletes can barely pay rent. The facade of when you become an Olympian, you’re set for life is so far from the truth,” he said. “They’ve invested 15, sometimes 20 years of their lives, putting school aside, putting jobs aside, and committing to the goal of going to the Olympics. And when they’ve finished, they sit in their bed lying awake at night, wondering, ‘What am I going to do next?’ There’s no career path for them afterward. That’s the reality.”
According to public financial information posted on the IOC’s website, the committee—a privately funded non-profit association—earned $7.6 billion from 2017 to 2021. The IOC says that 90 percent of that revenue goes toward the Olympic Games, athlete development, and the Olympic Movement, which encompasses the IOC, the International Sports Federations, and the National Olympic Committees.
But Global Athlete sees the situation differently. “They use rhetoric to say that the National Olympic Committees pay for gold medals. Not every country does, but that’s not the point here,” Koehler said. “Every single athlete attending the Games should be able to earn from the revenues.”
Koehler highlighted a study his group published in April 2020 in partnership with Ryerson University and the Ted Rogers School of Management that found that athletes only receive 4.1 percent of the Olympic Movement’s revenues via scholarships, grants, and achievement awards. In addition, just 0.5 percent of IOC funds go directly toward athletes, according to the study. Athletes are not allowed to negotiate these numbers.
A blatant imbalance of power. Anybody shocked?
We close with this genuine headline from the News Journal:
Prisoner indicted after fleeing custody, stealing tractor pulling manure spreader
Well, if ya gotta steal something…
What do you want to talk about?
“Prisoner indicted after fleeing custody, stealing tractor pulling manure spreader”
Here in the country I’ll just say Now That’s Country! and leave it at that. Other then to say this may well supplant George Jones getting a DUI while driving a tractor. Maybe.
“Like when?”
“For example..?”
“That’s been disproven in court. Do you have some new evidence to reveal?”
“You stated that as a fact but it is not true. Why did you do that?”
Until reporters start following up on each other’s questions they are complicit.
Yes. But it may well be besides the point.
Starting to think the country has moved on.
I think the rapturous response to the Harris ascension and Walz selection shows a large segment of the country is eager to move on.
Plus, I don’t see how Trump regains his mojo.
He’s not suddenly gonna regain any energy he might have had, and he’s not getting any more lucid.
He’s got his base, which doesn’t approach 50%, and that’s it.
Hope you guys are right.
Only 30 days until Delaware picks its next Governor. I think BHL’s “run out the clock” strategy may well work.
Maybe. I think her support is hemorrhaging.
I’ll say this, though. The Delaware Democratic Party is not getting a fucking penny from me.
And I’ll be campaigning for some somebodies to take the Party back from the Nepo Hacks.
There is a candidate forum the 21st in Lewes, the three candidates for Governor will be there. Can’t wait to go. I do think the BHL will win, I hope I’m wrong but… people still like her.
I think Meyer is going to win by 10. I’m not sure who you all hang out with but I’d suggest getting better friends.
You’re the one hanging out in an echo chamber. Most people know nothing about her but her name, and I haven’t gotten anything attacking her except Meyer’s too-coy-by-half PAC talking about her taking money from the NRA. Incredibly weak sauce. Either hit her hard or don’t bother hitting her at all.
The TV ads hit her pretty hard on her finances.
I don’t know anyone who watches TV ads.
Please help me out, Monte. What has changed to give you the sense that this is anything other than a Delaware Way primary?
Who, for example, votes in primaries other than Union members, people who work in and around Democratic politics in some way, and some odd-ball political junkies? Where is the Meyer voter in that mix?
I guess you can say that McGuiness/York results show that voters can be roused out of their typical stupor. However, that was after McGuiness had been in the news for weeks being tried and found guilty in court. BHL also has the advantage of running against two people. Sorry. The outcome of this primary is very sadly predictable.
You forgot about Wilmingtonians, who are very much aware a mayoral election will be decided that day, so they’ll all vote.
Beyond them, 120,000 people voted in the 2020 Democratic primary, about 60,000 in the 2016, when the top offices were held by incumbents running for re-election. I’d guess you’ll see about 100,000 votes this time around with the race for governor topping the ticket.