Not only that–she’ll have coattails that will flip the House and quite possibly at least lead to a 50-50 Senate.
Yes, I think the polls are wrong. I think that they have failed to account for what I see as being an overwhelming female vote that will result in something like a blue wave.
I see it in the early voting results. Yes, a lot of the early voters are Republican women. I see that as good. They’re not rushing out to vote out of any sense of enthusiasm for Trump. I think they’re determined to protect their rights as women.
Pundits nitpick every aspect of Kamala’s campaign. However, none of the mistakes the campaign might have made reach the level of Trump’s refusal to even reach out to Nikki Haley and her supporters:
Former presidential candidate and onetime U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley criticized Trump world on Tuesday for being “overly masculine with this bromance thing” after former President Donald Trump’s rally at Madison Square Garden on Sunday.
“This is not a time to have anyone criticize Puerto Rico or Latinos,” Haley said, instead calling for discipline around the campaign. “This is not a time for them to get overly masculine with this bromance thing that they have.”
Haley noted other language used throughout the rally, as well as in Republican ads and messaging, that she called destructive to drawing women into the fold on Election Day. Polls show a major gender gap playing out with this election, with women turning to Vice President Kamala Harris in greater numbers and Trump winning among men.
“This bromance and masculinity stuff, it borders on edgy to the point that it’s going to make women uncomfortable,” Haley said.
‘Borders on’? Trump’s campaign has been directly aimed at the bros and the MAGAts. I think it has done him far more damage than good, and it’s driving the early turnout. I think, without all that much evidence, that Republican women are disproportionately voting for Harris. I know that Harris’ GOTV operation is far superior to whatever it is that Musk is funding to try to counter it.
Bottom line: This is a turnout election. There are more of us than there are of them. Yes, even in the swing states. Plus, the Harris campaign has momentum on their side, especially with the contrasting ‘closing arguments’ event.
I’ve been wrong before (see any of my prediction threads or, better yet, don’t). But I think she wins, and wins far more handily than the polls suggest.