It’s a winter phenomenon because births tend to surge in August and slow to a crawl in February, while deaths — as we’ve previously found — soar in winter and slump in summer.
But that’s nationally. On a local level, deaths already outpace births in much of the country. Eager for insight into why, we mapped the birth-to-death ratio — and immediately got our answer.
Geographic patterns simply confirmed the least controversial principle in all of medicine: As we age toward retirement and beyond, we grow less likely to give birth and more likely to die.
But the real thrust of Mr. Kabugu’s question — the demographic breakdown — draws us into a more fraught subplot.
If more deaths than births is America’s future, then for White people, the future was 2016. That’s when deaths of White adults passed births by White mothers. And the gap keeps widening. (Native Americans and Black Americans briefly saw deaths exceed births when they suffered disproportionately from the covid pandemic, but births are again on top.)
There’s lotslots more. My son-in-law is a genius statistician. I hereby order him to read this article.
Was It Russia’s plan? Trump’s plan? Rubio’s plan? Looks like it came from a Russian diplomat named Dmitriev and a Trump dolt names Witkoff. A clown show has once again broken out in the Big Top:
The 28-point surrender plan was leaked by Dmitriev. That’s when things started to spin out of control.
The intent followed two objectives. First, maximalist wishlist of the Russian should be engraved cognitively in media sphere for everyone before any pushback occurred. Two, it should test the US government how it would react to the backlash which will inevitably follow.
Rubio unaware of the contents of the talks was then confronted by a bipartisan group of US Senators and gave them his answer, which at this moment was truthful.
The senators then went public quoting Rubio: “It is not our recommendation, it is not our peace plan.”
At this point the US officials in the Trump administration must have started to realize that something is going wrong. As intended the leak totally blind-sided them. They completely lost control of the situation, but grudgingly decided to go along with it.
Rubio was then compelled to go public and claim that it was indeed the plan, while watering down that it yet just the Russian side, with some previous input from Ukrainian side.
This whole episode reveals that the current US negotiating team is completely out of its depth and that people involved in this „negotiations“ are absolute amateurs to say the least.
Witkoff is “a real estate mogul with no diplomatic background”. Who better to negotiate a forced surrender of Ukraine with the Russians?:
Witkoff — a real estate mogul with no diplomatic background before his appointment — has emerged as one of the central architects of a new Washington peace proposal that Ukrainian officials say revives the Kremlin’s most sweeping demands.
A source in Ukraine’s President’s Office earlier said that Witkoff is shaping the plan in direct coordination with Kirill Dmitriev, Russia’s top economic negotiator and an operator in Moscow’s efforts to influence Washington.
“He has been doing it for months,” the source said, mentioning Witkoff’s 28-point plan that has been seen in Kyiv as a de facto capitulation to Russia.
The plan, approved by U.S. President Donald Trump earlier this week, includes requirements for Ukraine to cede territory, slash its military, and limit its alliances — proposals far more sweeping than those discussed in earlier negotiation rounds.
I know I say it often but, I can’t even…
Trump To Expand War Against Venezuela. War Powers Act? 25th Amendment? Somebody, anybody?:
The United States is poised to launch a new phase of Venezuela-related operations in the coming days, four U.S. officials told Reuters, as the Trump administration escalates pressure on President Nicolas Maduro’s government.
Reuters was not able to establish the exact timing or scope of the new operations, nor whether U.S. President Donald Trump had made a final decision to act. Reports of looming action have proliferated in recent weeks as the U.S. military has deployed forces to the Caribbean amid worsening relations with Venezuela.
Two of the U.S. officials said covert operations would likely be the first part of the new action against Maduro. All four officials quoted in this article spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of impending action by the United States.
The United States plans on Monday to designate the Cartel de los Soles a foreign terrorist organization for its alleged role in importing illegal drugs into the United States, officials said. The Trump administration has accused Maduro of leading Cartel de los Soles, which he denies.
U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said last week that the terrorist designation “brings a whole bunch of new options to the United States.”
Does Chris Coons have ‘concerns’?
Time To Drop The ‘e’ in Brandon Toole’s Last Name? Word on the street is that he’s gone full pro-data center. A tool, if you will. The signs–Toole withdrew as a sponsor on the data center regulation bill. Later that same day, he attended a fundraiser at Barnes & Thornburgh, the firm that employs the chief lobbyist for the data center, Shawn Tucker.
What do you want to talk about?
Shane’ Darby’ will be holding a press conference at the Plummer tomorrow at 5 to shine a light on John Carney’s latest betrayal of the people of Wilmington. Carney set this ill-conceived plan in motion after the election and just sat and watched it unfold. This is personal for me; I spent 6 months at Plummer in 2009 as I completed my journey through the Crest rehab program and got a leg up on rebuilding my life. If you can spare the time, please stop by. The Plummer is at North Market and Todd’s Lane just a block north of 30th and Market.
https://www.delawareonline.com/story/news/local/2025/11/23/wilmington-community-warns-state-officials-plummer-closure-will-upend-reentry-support/87392707007/
El Somnambulo has blow-wed me away twice in his opening shot. The stats on births and death is a shocker. Is the Opioids having an effect still? Secondly, DATA CENTER smoke-out is brilliant using the old Nixon credo, charge what they can’t deny and deny what they can’t charge. The bitch has to deny it Ossie Newsome’s credo comes into play. Money talks and bull-shit walks. I hope i din’t screw that up? Will he deny it?
The most interesting wrinkle of the Data Center Sellout, IMO, is the dog that hasn’t barked.
David Stevenson of the Caesar Rodney Institute has railed for well over a decade now about Jack Markell’s sellout to Bloom Energy tacking a surcharge onto everyone’s electric bill. I agree that my electric bill shouldn’t be paying for job creation.
But while Stevenson rails against the $5 a month or so that Markell’s sellout adds to the average bill, he hasn’t written a word that I can find against this data center, which promises to add far more than that to your bill.
So it turns out that the principle at play isn’t about your money at all. It’s about the GOP’s priorities, which boil down to “What’s in it for us?”
Not sure cheering for white deaths is the way to justice. Now if we’re just saying that in general we’d be better off with fewer MAGAts in the world . . . .
Not cheering for them. Just stating the obvious.
It was Lindsey Graham, in a rare moment of truthfulness, who said:
“The demographics race we’re losing badly. We’re not generating enough angry white guys to stay in business for the long term.”
Now that I think a little more about it, dying off is actually how the MAGAt population would shrink. But I guess I am specifying cheering the deaths of just MAGAt-type white people.
Actually Dave Stevenson and CRI were some of the first stakeholders arguing that the PSC should develop a special large load tariff because of concerns about rate impacts caused by data centers.
https://www.caesarrodney.org/energy-updates2/How-a-New-Data-Center-Could-Impact-Your-Electric-Bill.html
Rich Collins just announced that he is not seeking re-election
That’s addition by subtraction right there–unless his replacement is John Atkins.
Anyone know whether, if he runs, he’ll run as a D or an R? I’m guessing R since Pete Schwartzkopf ain’t around to save his hide any more.
Here’s the article:
https://baytobaynews.com/stories/millsboro-state-representative-not-seeking-reelection-next-year,272928
Great question. If someone here reading this has access to VoteBuilder, they could confirm what Atkins’ registration is. But it is suspicious to consider the timing of Rich’s announcement and John’s recent social media musings. If you check out John’s socials, he’s been very active with downstate Rs, almost exclusively…
I think you’re right. Looks like a handshake hand-off.