State by State Trump is Historically Unpopular, The Dem Nominee is Practically a Stone Cold Lock to Win
This election is the Democrats to lose. That said if they are timid, and if they try to accommodate “moderates” and f they nominate someone who is only popular inside the beltway, they could still lose.
There has been a lot of discussion in political circles about Donald Trump’s job-approval ratings, what they portend, and Trump’s Electoral College strategy for 2020, which doesn’t necessarily require a popular-vote plurality. But in the end, of course, the conjunction of the Electoral College with Trump’s state-by-state popularity is where the deal will go down.
The online polling firm Civiqs has published a new set of state-by-state job-approval ratings for Trump as of August 11, and it shows how the president’s overall standing (a 43 percent approval rating nationally, which happens to match the current RealClearPolitics polling average) might translate into electorate votes. It’s not a pretty picture for the president, to put it mildly.
Trump’s support is maxed out. He hasn’t added a single voter in three years. And yet…if, for whatever reason, Dems leave a lot of supporters on the sidelines, they deserve to lose.
The states in red constitute Dumbfuckistan.
While Texas may or not flip from Trump, here’s something I wish would happen:
https://www.houstonchronicle.com/opinion/editorials/article/Beto-come-home-Texas-needs-you-Editorial-14294396.php
I like that article, but I like Beto as VP better. Those Texas electoral votes would be clutch, and while it didn’t work for Tim Kain in VA, he was saddled with an unpopular candidate on the top of the ticket.
It sorta worked for Kaine. Hillary barely won Virginia. She wins with Bernie on the ticket.
Here’s the thing: The Senate is ripe for the taking, but possibly not it we have B-list candidates in winnable races. It looks like we’ve lost our best chance in Georgia with Stacey Abrams not running. But, if Beto ran in Texas, he’d have a real shot at Cornyn. For that matter, when Bullock drops out of the race, he’d have a fighting chance at Montana, a Senate seat currently held by Steve Daines, a true Trumpie. Could you imagine Montana with 2 D senators?
No, no, no, no, no. Cornyn is not going to lose, no matter who his opponent is. If Beto takes him on and loses, that’s it — his career as a serious contender for office is over.
Cornyn is a useless dick, but he’s not despised the way Cruz is. If Beto couldn’t beat Cruz, he’s not going to beat Cornyn.
First of all, he’s not gonna win the presidential nomination. Second, as the editorial pointed out, Texas has changed a lot in two years. He’s got a legit shot, especially post-El Paso and his reaction to it. Cruz is a dick, but Cornyn has ‘Washington insider pol’ as his brand.
What would you have him do? Hope he gets the VP nomination?
The failure of the D’s to get their best candidates for some winnable senate seats is political malpractice. I should expect no less from Chuck Schumer. But I think Beto has a genuine chance to win. And, if he does, it almost ensures D control of the Senate.
BTW, what’s revealing is that Pa., Michigan and Wisconsin are strongly opposed to Trump. That’s the election, right there.
Democrats need to really push his horrid work with Puerto Rico as well in Florida to increase turnout of that particular group; it might be enough to flip Florida, which would mean they only need one of three rust belt states to win.
The deficit is also set to hit $1,000,000,000,000 + this year; while that isn’t a traditional issue for Democrats, and deficit spending has its place, we’re not getting any return on our spending either.
The thing about Florida is, if voter suppression fails, D’s likely win. So far, voter suppression has succeeded.