DL Open Thread Monday September 12 2022
Tomorrow is the day. If the dire predictions for York come to pass, this comment from Albey will be the coda.
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“He didn’t even know KMG has legal issues.”
This isn’t surprising. Delaware has no TV stations for local news. The newspaper’s circulation is about 20% of what it was 20 years ago. Where would they learn of it?
To follow up on that, this is the reason York should have invested heavily on mailers. One side a pic of a smiling Lydia York, the other a hit piece of damning headlines and an unflattering photo of KMcG. That way you both educate voters about the incumbent and give them an alternative. And even if it’s seen for only 2 seconds on the way to the waste bin, it’s done its job.
This isn’t brain surgery, folks, and it ain’t all that expensive. Ms. York has no name recognition in the community, McGuiness has lots. York’s team did nothing to counter that.
Turning up at the Arden Fair is nice, but 90% of those she met already have no memory of it.
To paraphrase Menalaus “Pappy” O’Daniel, one-at-a-timin’ cannot compete with mass communicatin’.
The US is the only wealthy country in the world where the life expectancy needle is moving the wrong way.
Between 1959 and 2014, the average length of time that Americans were expected to live was on the rise. Now, for the third year in a row, it’s declining, according to a new study published in the Journal of the American Medical Association.
“Americans operate under a lot of misconceptions about how superior we are in many facets of our lives and this is not one of them,” the study’s lead author Steven Woolf told Business Insider. “We may think we have best medical care in world and highest life expectancy … but that’s not the case.”
“The 140 years from 1870 to 2010 of the long twentieth century were, I strongly believe, the most consequential years of all humanity’s centuries.”
So argues Slouching Towards Utopia: An Economic History of the Twentieth Century, the new magnum opus from UC Berkeley professor Brad DeLong. It’s a bold claim. Homo sapiens has been around for at least 300,000 years; the “long twentieth century” represents 0.05 percent of that history.
But to DeLong, who beyond his academic work is known for his widely read blog on economics, something incredible happened in that sliver of time that eluded our species for the other 99.95 percent of our history. Whereas before 1870, technological progress proceeded slowly, if at all, after 1870 it accelerated dramatically. And especially for residents of rich countries, this technological progress brought a world of unprecedented plenty.
DeLong reports that in 1870, an average unskilled male worker living in London could afford 5,000 calories for himself and his family on his daily wages. That was more than the 3,000 calories he could’ve afforded in 1600, a 66 percent increase — progress, to be sure. But by 2010, the same worker could afford 2.4 million calories a day, a nearly five hundred fold increase.
This looks like a very interesting book, as Delong’s interview with Dylan Matthews linked above makes clear.
Here I just want to note an extremely basic but not sufficiently appreciated point: throughout all of the many thousands of years of recorded human history, the most salient difference between social elites and everybody else almost everywhere was that the former weren’t living on the verge of starvation, while everyone else was. – Via LGM
The is a funhouse mirror feeling to this primary. Or maybe “parallel universe” or VR vs IRL sensibility. It really doesn’t seem to have penetrated the consciousness of my fellow meat humans in line in the grocery store.
I can’t predict a turnout in the 9th that will be low enough.
Can’t wait to vote for Kathy. This whole thing has been a witch hunt from someone who doesn’t want her competing for governor after Carney’s term. Pretty obvious.
Only to morons. Like you.
Evidence, please, that Jennings wants to be governor. The only one who wants higher office is McGuiness, who can’t perform in the one she has now.
Now fuck off.
The 19 whistle-blowers were all double agents paid by DAG A Mackler. The deep state (Delaware Way) tricked Kathy into hiring and supervising her daughter and her friends. The email monitoring was a deep fake “limited hangout” coordinated by the state tech DTI agency!
Where’s my crystal meth?
No difference between magats and you lot. Your idol is a criminal and you’re a stooge for supporting them.
So where are the charges against BHL, Meyer, McBride?
Nobody but KMG believed KMG had a shot at being governor.
The allegation acts as a confession
Boom goes the dynamite.
“Nobody but KMG believed KMG had a shot at being governor.”
…pretty obvious…
Question for you or your legal eagle. Would any of the folks that had their email monitored have a cause of action?
Don’t think so. She’s the boss of OAOA and went through the proper channels. It’s within her authority.
Plus, and I can get a legal opinion on this, i believe no one has an expectation of privacy on a state email server.
AG Denney has stated that McGuiness was monitoring some emails “outside the state enterprise”, but it didn’t come up in the criminal case. No clue what the civil law would make of it and I have no other details.
I really want some “red in tooth and claw” litigator to find out who “outside the state enterprise” had a violated email inbox, then I want that litigator to make lots of money representing those people v. The State of Delaware.
Fully endorse Robert’s able analysis here.
I think many who believe KMG may win tomorrow are heavily in the corner that believes any John and Jane Doe is gonna show up for the primary tomorrow to vote and just vote for the lower ballot candidate they came out for and then KMG based on name recognition.
I’m of the other camp that believes that turnout is actually gonna be abysmal, because frankly, while there’s some solid primaries in some districts… there’s not enough primaries, statewide or otherwise, that would get out enough voters who came to vote for one race and were uninformed on the others. The fact of the matter is that most people voting tomorrow (or having already voted) are pretty involved people, know the news, know what KMG has been up to. While I believe it will be closer than it should be given the lazy campaign of York, I don’t believe KMG has a way out. There’s no way people in Middletown, Arden, and Smyrna have the same love for her that (for whatever reason) reasonable democrats in Sussex have for her. She simply doesn’t have a path forward in my eyes.
“I’m of the other camp that believes that turnout is actually gonna be abysmal”
This primary has all the energy of a fan-con for a cheese making documentary.
Leave your house and look around. The level of obesity is alarming. I went to a birthday party a few weeks ago and the size of all but one of the people in the family was morbidly obese. But in our society money isn’t made on prevention it’s made in treatment –
I hate to say it, but with no significant top
of the ticket candidates, I fear KMG eeks this win out. She has been working hard in her own back yard to win this.
I didn’t get first my text from the York campaign until FRIDAY. Never got a single mailer. I have voted in the last two primaries. Crazy! Also, didn’t see my first social media add about York until Friday. Shit can’t run if ya don’t give legs, and I fear the York campaign did too little to late to let it run.
I hope, for the sake of Delaware, at least enough of the right people win in NCCo to topple the current leadership.
I have always commented with my name, as a someone who lives in Sussex & has charities that depend on ton of sponsorship, I honestly fear quiet retaliation.
It blows my mind how people down here can’t see through her.
Will be voting for York, and hoping for the best.
I think these last two comments sum things up nicely. I fear the worst while hoping for the best.
I really don’t want to be put in the position of voting for the Republican in November, but I will if it comes to that.
The GOP candidate is v bad
I have no doubt. But I view voting as a defensive rather than offensive act. Because a Republican would have no future, I consider it more important to block the Democrat who might.
I have called this theory of voting as “using maggots to cleanse a wound.” But in this case I think a Republican auditor could do a lot of damage to healthy tissue in four years. On the other hand a KMG on a comeback streak could do even more damage in future cycles.
So there’s a primary for auditor tomorrow. Wondering how to vote?
lol. Nailed it.
I wonder with how Swedens voting is going if they are behind the far right curve or on the leading edge of it?
Lydia sez “if elected, she would prioritize annual reviews of school spending. Delaware has 19 separate districts, each operating independently, as well as more than two dozen charter schools. “I think a lot of taxpayers would find those results interesting, to say the least,’’ she said. “But I think that it would also eventually serve to improve and enhance the trust that people have in their school districts.”
York also wants an office that operates out of the spotlight, and lets audits speak for themselves. “Good government is boring,’’ she said. “It does it efficiently and effectively and very much like your light switch.”’
https://whyy.org/articles/delaware-primary-election-convicted-auditor-kathy-mcguiness-lydia-york/
I am persuaded that the turnout will be voters motivated to vote for change and York pulls a win.
I’m really worried about the York-KMG primary. I can’t see the Dems in DE supporting a convicted crook, but, as has been ably noted, if people don’t know they are voting for a crook… I have received at least 3 mailers from KMG, but nothing from Lydia. Not a thing. This does not bode well for York if this is the norm for her campaign. People need to know that a race is in progress, and why they should vote for one candidate over the other, and Lydia’s team is not doing that.
I have lost count of the number of mailers I have received from both Maresca and Wilson-Anton, most of which have been positive, for what it’s worth. That might bring out voters in the Newark-Christiana area, but what will happen statewide is anyone’s guess, especially with no high profile races. This is why I hate the fact that DE ‘front loads’ elections into one election cycle, that being the presidential election year. Completely overshadows all other races, many of which are as, if not more important.
To paraphrase the great Reggie Jackson: “There are two Kathy McGuinnesses. One’s convicted and the other’s a born liar.”
It was Billy Martin who said of Jackson and George Steinbrenner, “The two men deserve each other. One’s a born liar, the other’s convicted.”
I stand corrected. The brain is getting to old to wear my aging NYY cap. Thanx for being a good fact-checker.
Steinbrenner-hater that I was, I could never forget that quote.
For those who don’t recall, the Yankee owner pleaded guilty to illegal campaign contributions to Richard Nixon, then trying to intimidate employees of his his shipbuilding company into lying to a grand jury about it.
Jackson was just a bit of a self-aggrandizing truth-stretcher.
From the front lines of Early Voting: On Friday two of the five NCC sites had 0 voters. At Claymont Community Center we had 30. Folks who know the score are probably <5%? We have Republicans and Independents coming in who are conscientious citizens — but do not realize there are no Republican primaries in NCC, or they can only vote if they are registered D. I fear that since McGuiness is (alphabetically) first as you read across the ballot row of Auditor candidates, that alone will do it. I chatted with a bright, knowledgeable person who was active in politics a few years ago but stepped back as he raised his family. Not a clue about McG's saga. Mouth fell open as I outlined it for him (outside the 50 foot line, of course!!). Now, under my Ballot Order Alphabetical Row Theory, that would give Cotto a bump. I believe the winner of this travesty will be massive content for The Bunker and this blog.
Many thanks for the on-the-ground reporting. Citizen journalism is the only kind we have left.
So, on the Grocery store Saturday I voted in Claymont. The workers were almost too happy to see me and thanked me effusively for voting! Earlier in the week I drove several seniors to vote they were all done pretty much as soon as i parked in the handicapped spot after dropping them at the door,
Speaking from the on-the-ground reporting, KM has very few signs in her neighborhood as well as the adjacent neighborhoods. The nextdoor app had a thread about KMcG’s door-knocking and of the 160 people participating, only 2 were defending her. Most of them were outraged that she was found guilty on public corruption charges. Finally, on Saturday, I attended a party of about 80 people and none of them expressed support for Kathy.
Typically, I would agree, the candidate has to give you a reason to vote for them. But in this case, it may be the incumbent has given voters enough reason to vote against her.
My guess is that Kathy takes it. I agree that primary voters are generally more dialed in, but experience has taught me that they are single-race voters that prioritize their own RD/SD and treat any down-ballot positions with casual disregard. To be frank, as a young man I didn’t understand the value of an elected recorder of deeds, register of wills, sheriff, or auditor and I would typically abstain from voting on those races. I can recall that stupefied feeling the first time I voted at eighteen and seeing all those other candidates. I’m sure at the time I pulled a lever for one or two based on name recognition alone. I think that fundamental psychology hasn’t changed much over the years.