Friday Open Thread [10.24.14]

With less than two weeks to go, the polling is coming fast and furious. But some pollsters are jumping ahead to get a preview of the 2016 Presidential. So before we dive into the pile of 2014 polls… from the The Fix:

“[A] new Washington Post-ABC News polling on the 2016 Republican presidential race makes one thing very clear: Every GOPer who has even a hint of ambition for national office is likely to run in two years time. Why? Because the field is remarkably frontrunner-less, meaning that every Ted, John and Rob can make a plausible case to activists and donors that they are going to eventually be the guy.”

And for that reason, Mitt Romney, the retread from 2008 and 2012, is the frontrunner. The Devil you know…

NATIONAL–PRESIDENT–GOP PRIMARY
ABC/Washington Post: Romney 21, Bush 10, Huckabee 10, Paul 9, Christie 8, Ryan 5

NATIONAL–PRESIDENT–DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
ABC/Washington Post: Clinton 64, Biden 13, Warren 11

ARKANSAS–GOVERNOR
Talk Business/Hendrix College: Asa Hutchinson (R) 49, Mike Ross (D) 41

ARIZONA–GOVERNOR
McLaughlin and Associates—R: Doug Ducey (R) 37, Fred DuVal (D) 36
The Polling Company—R: Doug Ducey (R) 42, Fred DuVal (D) 35, Barry Hess (L) 7
Rasmussen: Doug Ducey (R) 47, Fred DuVal (D) 42

CALIFORNIA–GOVERNOR
PPIC: Gov. Jerry Brown (D) 52, Neel Kashkari (R) 36

COLORADO–GOVERNOR
Ipsos-Reuters: Gov. John Hickenlooper (D) 45, Bob Beauprez (R) 45
Monmouth: Gov. John Hickenlooper (D) 50, Bob Beauprez (R) 43
PPP: Gov. John Hickenlooper (D) 45, Bob Beauprez (R) 44
Quinnipiac: Gov. John Hickenlooper (D) 45, Bob Beauprez (R) 44
Suffolk/USA Today: Gov. John Hickenlooper (D) 46, Bob Beauprez (R) 46

COLORADO–SENATOR
Ipsos-Reuters: Cory Gardner (R) 47, Sen. Mark Udall (D) 45
Monmouth: Cory Gardner (R) 47, Sen. Mark Udall (D) 46
PPP: Cory Gardner (R) 46, Sen. Mark Udall (D) 43
Suffolk/USA Today: Cory Gardner (R) 46, Sen. Mark Udall (D) 39

CONNECTICUT–GOVERNOR
Quinnipiac: Gov. Dan Malloy (D) 43, Tom Foley (R) 42, Joe Visconti (I) 9

FLORIDA–GOVERNOR
Quinnipiac: Gov. Rick Scott (R) 42, Charlie Crist (D) 42, Adrian Wyllie (L) 7
St. Leo Univ.: Charlie Crist (D) 43, Gov. Rick Scott (R) 40, Adrian Wyllie (L) 8

GEORGIA–GOVERNOR
Insider Advantage: Gov. Nathan Deal (R) 44, Jason Carter (D) 44, Andrew Hunt (L) 5
SurveyUSA: Gov. Nathan Deal (R) 45, Jason Carter (D) 43, Andrew Hunt (L) 4

GEORGIA–SENATOR
CNN/ORC: poll in Georgia finds Michelle Nunn (D) has a slight lead over David Perdue (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 47% to 44%.

In a hypothetical runoff if neither reaches 50% on Election Day, Nunn still holds a small margin over Perdue, 51% to 47%.
Insider Advantage: Michelle Nunn (D) 47, David Perdue (R) 45, Amanda Swafford (L) 4
SurveyUSA: Michelle Nunn (D) 46, David Perdue (R) 44, Amanda Swafford (L) 4

HAWAII–GOVERNOR
Ward Research: David Ige (D) 47, Duke Aiona (R) 35, Mufi Hannemann (I) 12

IOWA–SENATOR
Monmouth: Joni Ernst (R) 47, Bruce Braley (D) 46
Quinnipiac: Joni Ernst (R) 48, Bruce Braley (D) 46

ILLINOIS–GOVERNOR
APC Research/Chicago Tribune: Bruce Rauner (R) 45, Gov. Pat Quinn (D) 43, Chad Grimm (L) 4
Rasmussen: Bruce Rauner (R) 48, Gov. Pat Quinn (D) 47
Univ. of Illinois-Springfield: Bruce Rauner (R) 43, Gov. Pat Quinn (D) 41

ILLINOIS–SENATOR
Univ. of Illinois-Springfield: Sen. Dick Durbin (D) 50, Jim Oberweis (R) 35

KANSAS–SENATOR
Rasmussen: Greg Orman (I) 49, Sen. Pat Roberts (R) 44

KENTUCKY–SENATOR
Voter/Consumer Research: Sen. Mitch McConnell (R) 49, Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 41

MASSACHUSETTS–GOVERNOR
MassINC: Charlie Baker (R) 43, Martha Coakley (D) 42, Others 4

MICHIGAN–GOVERNOR
Clarity Campaign Labs—D: Mark Schauer (D) 44, Gov. Rick Snyder (R) 41
EPIC-MRA: Gov. Rick Snyder (R) 47, Mark Schauer (D) 39
Mitchell Research: Gov. Rick Snyder (R) 48, Mark Schauer (D) 46
PPP—D: Gov. Rick Snyder (R) 48, Mark Schauer (D) 48

MICHIGAN–SENATOR
Clarity Campaign Labs—D: Gary Peters (D) 48, Terri Lynn Land (R) 33
EPIC-MRA: Gary Peters (D) 45, Terri Lynn Land (R) 34
Mitchell Research: Gary Peters (D) 51, Terri Lynn Land (R) 38
PPP: Gary Peters (D) 53, Terri Lynn Land (R) 39

MINNESOTA–SENATOR
SurveyUSA: Sen. Al Franken (D) 53, Mike McFadden (R) 38

NORTH CAROLINA–SENATOR
National Research—R: Thom Tillis (R) 42, Sen. Kay Hagan (D) 41, Sean Haugh (L) 6
SurveyUSA: Sen. Kay Hagan (D) 46, Thom Tillis (R) 43, Sean Haugh (L) 7

NEW HAMPSHIRE–GOVERNOR
American Research Group: Gov. Maggie Hassan (D) 53, Walt Havenstein (R) 43
CNN/ORC: Gov. Maggie Hassan (D) 51, Walt Havenstein (R) 45
New England College: Gov. Maggie Hassan (D) 51, Walt Havenstein (R) 43
PPP: Gov. Maggie Hassan (D) 53, Walt Havenstein (R) 43

NEW HAMPSHIRE–SENATOR
American Research Group: Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49, Scott Brown (R) 48
CNN/ORC: Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49, Scott Brown (R) 47
New England College: Scott Brown (R) 48, Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D) 47
PPP—D: Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49, Scott Brown (R) 45

NEW JERSEY–SENATOR
Fairleigh Dickinson: Sen. Cory Booker (D) 56, Jeff Bell (R) 40
Stockton Polling Institute: Sen. Cory Booker (D) 57, Jeff Bell (R) 33

NEW YORK–GOVERNOR
Siena: Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D) 54, Rob Astorino (R) 33, Howie Hawkins (G) 9

OREGON–GOVERNOR
SurveyUSA: Gov. John Kitzhaber (D) 51, Dennis Richardson (R) 38

OREGON–SENATOR
SurveyUSA: Sen. Jeff Merkley (D) 53, Monica Wehby (R) 32

RHODE ISLAND–GOVERNOR
Brown Univ.: Gina Raimondo (D) 42, Allan Fung (R) 31, Robert Healey (Mod) 9

SOUTH DAKOTA–SENATOR
Public Opinion Strategies—R: Mike Rounds (R) 48, Rick Weiland (D) 24, Larry Pressler (I) 16

TENNESSEE–SENATOR
PPP: Sen. Lamar Alexander (R) 45, Gordon Ball (D) 32, Tom Emerson (I) 13

TEXAS–SENATOR
Univ. of Texas: Sen. John Cornyn (R) 57, David Alameel (D) 31

TEXAS–GOVERNOR
Crosswind Media: Greg Abbott (R) 52, Wendy Davis (D) 31
Univ. of Texas: Greg Abbott (R) 54, Wendy Davis (D) 38

WISCONSIN–GOVERNOR
PPP—D: Gov. Scott Walker (R) 47, Mary Burke (D) 46
Rasmussen: Mary Burke (D) 49, Gov. Scott Walker (R) 48
St. Norbert’s College/WPRI: Gov. Scott Walker (R) 47, Mary Burke (D) 46