Delaware Dem
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Friday Open Thread [9.26.14]
This is a massive polling dump that includes polls that go back to last week, polls that I have not previously posted. I have grouped all the states alphabetically, and then separated the offices of Senator and Governor. Where there are multiple polls in a particular state and office, the older polls are listed first, and newer polls are listed last. This past polling week has some good news from Arkansas, very bad news from Alaska, bad news from Colorado, and good news from Iowa and North Carolina. These Senate races are going to go down to the wire, and turnout will be the key. If our voters turnout, Dems will win all of them. If not, the GOP will win. Right now, as you will see, I have the GOP picking up 6 new Senate seats while successfully defending Kentucky and Georgia, BUT the GOP will lose Kansas. And Iowa remains too close to call.
So that leaves us with 50 GOP seats, 48 Democratic seats, 1 toss up Iowa seat, and a kingmaker in Kansas. The Independent Greg Orman has said that he will caucus with whomever wins the majority. But what if that decision is up to him? If Iowa goes to the Dems, then it will be 50-49. If Orman goes with the Dems, it is 50-50 with Biden (D) the tiebreaking vote, giving the Dems the majority. If Orman goes with the GOP, it will be 51-49 GOP.
Personally, I think the Dems will still win in Colorado despite this last week of bad polls there, and I think they will win in Iowa, leaving us with a 51-49 Dem Senate.
Another Delaware Poll, by a Delaware Polling outfit, shows Coons, Carney up
DELAWARE–SENATOR–Univ. of Delaware: Sen. Chris Coons (D) 50, Kevin Wade (R) 27, Andrew Groff (G) 6
DELAWARE–REPRESENTATIVE–Univ. of Delaware: Rep. John Carney (D) 52, Rose Izzo (R) 17, Others 11
I wonder if these numbers are more to the pundits’ liking.
Thursday Open Thread [9.25.14]
Sorry everyone, for my absence. I was sent to Mississippi for work… er ah… to combat evil. The place is so evil that they grow evil in fields as far as the eye can see…


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