Monday Open Thread [5.11.15]

Monday Open Thread [5.11.15]

First Read: “There are at least four reasons why the GOP candidates are focused so heavily on foreign affairs — more so than at this time in the 2012 presidential cycle. One, the economy has improved (223,000 jobs were created last month, and Obama’s economic handling is up to 49% in the latest NBC/WSJ poll), while the deficit has decreased. Two, there’s the rise of ISIS. Three, there’s the Iran deal that the Obama administration is racing to finalize by next month. And four, there’s the GOP recognition that focusing on foreign policy is maybe the best way to go after Hillary Clinton’s record as secretary of state.” The first is the most important reason. If this election is about the economy, it will be a Clinton landslide.
Friday Open Thread [5.8.15]

Friday Open Thread [5.8.15]

Dylan Byers: “On Nov. 8, 2016, Clinton will start — start — with a minimum 247 of the 270 electoral votes she needs to win. If you give her Colorado and Virginia — which many political strategists would, given the Hispanic population in one and the rising influence of the northern-centered population in the other — she’ll start with 269. That means Clinton doesn’t need Ohio or Florida. She just needs one small state like Iowa, Nevada or New Hampshire to put her over the edge. And because she’s got a boatload of money and no viable primary challenger, she’ll have plenty of time and resources to lock up at least one of those states.” “In order to shift the map, the Republican nominee would have to find a way to win Colorado and/or Virginia. That means winning over Hispanics, which will be a difficult task for a nominee who has spent a months-long primary trying to win over the conservative grass roots. It also means winning over enough members of Virginia’s white working class to counter the more populated liberal-urban centers in the north. Not impossible, of course, but hard.”
DL GOP Fantasy Pool Update – Is Jeb Bush DOA?

DL GOP Fantasy Pool Update – Is Jeb Bush DOA?

Perhaps the most surprising Fantasy News so far is how badly top pick, Jeb Bush, is doing. A new Quinnipiac poll of likely Iowa Republican presidential caucusgoers finds Jeb Bush in SEVENTH place with a measly 5%, trailing behind both Ben Carson (7%) and chlamydia (6%). Is it possible that Bush MAY NEVER EVEN ANNOUNCE, thereby netting a big zero for AQC and Del Dem? I doubt it. Despite being hated by Iowa caucusgoers, Jeb Bush remains popular among billionaires with money to blow. So why not collect sacks of cash on his way to whatever lobbying job lies ahead?
Wednesday Open Thread [5.6.15]

Wednesday Open Thread [5.6.15]

Jay Bookman at The Atlanta Journal Constitution:
When Pamela Geller** and her allies organized an “art show” in Texas around the concept of anti-Mohammed cartoons, offering a $10,000 prize, they were hoping to provoke a reaction. They got it. [...] But let’s be honest. The nut cases at either end of the spectrum are each other’s best allies, prodding and provoking each other in hopes of creating a maelstrom that sucks everybody else into their war. Because then they win. The more anger, fear and other thought-throttling emotions they can stir, the more recruits they will find for their own cause. And if it also generates recruits for the other side, that’s fine too. Because that too moves us closer to the religious war that they itch to foment.
Tuesday Open Thread [5.5.15]

Tuesday Open Thread [5.5.15]

Ed Kilgore on why Hillary is pursuing a progressive campaign: It's because she can't reassemble the Clinton Coalition, so she is going to use the Obama Coalition instead:
So the thinking person’s empirically oriented conservative political analyst, Sean Trende of RealClearPolitics, has an interesting piece suggesting that the apparent decision of Hillary Clinton to run a progressive-leaning campaign is a sign not of any real confidence it’s the winning formula, but of the absence of any alternative. Sean’s playing off a TNR column by Brian Beutler suggesting that HRC has reason to believe she can keep the “Obama coalition” together and that it will continue to be enough for victory in a presidential election. Trende points to some reasons he thinks that calculation may be wrong, but argues HRC’s probably making the best of a bad hand because the “Clinton coalition,” which included many blue-collar white voters, is gone forever. I don’t want to put any words in Brian’s mouth, but I’d say Sean’s missing another possibility. Sure, the days are gone for good where any Democrat, even Bill Clinton’s wife, is going to try to appeal to white-working class voters on cultural grounds, as the 42d president famously did in 1992 and 1996. But appealing to some of them on a “populist” economic message, as HRC is showing every sign of doing, couldn’t do worse and might do better than the conventional Democratic pitch.
DL GOP Fantasy Pool – Huckabee to announce today

DL GOP Fantasy Pool – Huckabee to announce today

Michael Dale "Mike" Huckabee (born August 24, 1955) is an American politician who did a plausible imitation of a sane person while serving as the 44th Governor of Arkansas (1996–2007). He was a candidate in the 2008 United States Republican presidential primaries, winning the 2008 Iowa Republican caucuses by throwing his reputation as a sane person under the bus and driving the bus over that reputation 30 to 40 times. Rick Perry, it seems, is going to announce tomorrow. Here are the revised standings: Newton and Jason330 now have 3 of 4 picks running. Division 1 Pandora: Walker, Paul* (30), Rubio (24), and Santorum | 54 Jason330: Huckabee (1), Christie, Cruz* (45),Carson (2) | 48 AQCL: Jindal, Bush, Fiorina (2), Ehrlich | 2 Division 1A Newton: Paul* (30), Rubio (24),Carson (2), Santorum | 56 Prop Joe: Cruz* (45), Jindahl, Walker, Perry | 45 Del Dem: Bush, Christie, Huckabee (1), Graham | 1 Here are the Candidates with points: Cruz - 45 points (March 23rd), Paul - 30 points (April 7th), Rubio - 24 points (April 13), Carson - 2 points (May 4th), Fiorina - 2 point2 (May 4th), Huckbee - 1 point (May 5th) (*) Indicates candidates who think we need to be worried that President Obama may be plotting to take over Texas with US military special operations forces. Let me know if I miss an announcement, and good luck.
Monday Open Thread [5.4.15]

Monday Open Thread [5.4.15]

Republicans love to call themselves Christians and denounce anyone who doesn't vote for or follow them as un-American non-Christians, but the truth is it is all projection:
Ohio Gov. John Kasich (R) was criticized by Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal (R) and South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley (R) for "hiding behind Jesus to expand Medicaid" according to a report in The Atlantic. The two Republican governors confronted Kasich at a donor forum hosted by the Koch brothers in Palm Springs. A source at the event told The Atlantic, "It got heated."
If Bobby Jindal and Nikki Haley were Christians they would actually follow Jesus Christ and care for the poor, sick, elderly and the needy. Instead, they are fellating their rich benefactors and criticizing those who are following Christ's example. I hope they both go straight to Hell.
Time for a Separation

Time for a Separation

And by that I mean, a separation of Delaware's Democrats in the General Assembly from Governor Jack Markell (D). On Friday, the Governor went on Rick Jensen's show on WDEL and stated that he would veto House Bill 50 (the opt-out bill) if it passed the House and Senate. HB 50 would allow parents to opt their child or children out of state standardized testing. The bill cleared the House Education Committee last week and it awaits a vote by the full House, which may come this week.
"I never say what I'm going to do to a bill in advance, but I can say I absolutely do not support that bill," Markell said. Markell said it's his job to do what's best for Delaware kids, and he said opting out of the Smarter Balanced assessment isn't the way. "Civil rights communities across the country, the NAACP, the urban leagues have been very, very focused on not allowing opt out because they're concerned that if the kids are allowed to opt out they'll fall through the cracks," he said. Markell also stood behind Delaware's adoption of the Common Core standards.
They are falling through the cracks now because they are not learning. They spend all their time trying to prepare for an impossible test. But I digress. These standardized tests are very unpopular with parents across the country and here in Delaware. They are very unpopular with teachers, and educators. They are only popular with those who want to "reform" education so as to either 1) privatize it, or 2) enrich themselves or their benefactors, or 3) both. So General Assembly Democrats have a decision to make.