PPP: Carney Leads Urquhart By 11

PPP just released new numbers for the U.S. House race showing John Carney up by 11%, 48-37.

Carney begins the general election with a 48-37 lead over Glen Urquhart. In contrast to most races across the country Carney has a more unified base, winning 75% of Democrats to Urquhart’s 66% of Republicans. Urquhart does have a 38-36 lead with independents but that’s not nearly as large as most GOP candidates across the country have and certainly not as large as he needs to win a strongly Democratic leaning state like Delaware.

These numbers do represent a tightening since PPP’s last poll of the race in August which found Carney ahead 48-30. What’s important to note about those numbers is that Carney has remained steady. Urquhart is just increasing his support as he becomes better known and locks up more of the Republican base.

Carney has solid favorability numbers with 34% seeing him favorably and 24% unfavorably. Interestingly Urquhart has pulled even with Carney in name recognition and he’s seen positively by 30% of voters and negatively by 29%.

This is another race where we can’t afford to be complacent. Full poll results here.