Fairleigh Dickinson has released poll results for several Delaware races. The poll finds John Carney with a 15% lead, with Urquhart’s support in the mid-30s.
But according to the most recent poll by Fairleigh Dickinson University’s PublicMind, Democrat and former Lt. Gov. John Carney is leading Republican Glen Urquhart by 51%-36% for the House seat soon to be vacated by Republican Mike Castle.
“Reputation and name brand matter,” said Peter Woolley, professor of political science at Fairleigh Dickinson University and director of the poll, “and it matters a little more in Delaware than in most states,” he said. While Carney predictably leads comfortably in New Castle County (56-32), he runs even with Urquhart (43-43) in the more Republican counties of Kent and Sussex.
Urquhart is underperforming O’Donnell slightly, so he probably has room to grow his numbers. Carney is also underperforming Chris Coons. The hot Senate race has really overshadowed the U.S. House race in this cycle.
For Auditor of Accounts, Richard Korn has a lot of ground to make up, Wagner leads by 15% (but is under the magic 50% mark).
Likewise, one of five voters (20%) is undecided in the race for auditor of accounts where Republican incumbent Tom Wagner leads the Democrat Richard Korn by 46%-31%. Wagner leads downstate by a 2-to-1 margin, 55-24 and in New Castle County by 42-35.
The Treasurer’s race may turn out to be the most interesting race. The poll found Flowers and Bonini tied.
In the race for state treasurer, Democrat Chip Flowers and Republican Colin Bonini are neck and neck at 38%-38%, with 21% unsure. Flowers leads in New Castle by 41%-34%, while Bonini leads downstate by 44-33. “Don’t look for many of the undecided to break,” said Woolley. “Lots of these unsure voters will resolve their dilemma by not casting a vote in this particular race.”
The poll finds that Beau Biden is the most popular politician in the state, and is handily beating his challenger Doug Campbell by 40% (65/25). Biden’s favorable/unfavorable is 61/23. Jack Markell is also popular, with a 57% approval rating.