Christine-mentum?
A new poll released by Monmouth (no internals yet) has Coons lead at 10% – 51% to 41%. This is 11% worse than yesterday’s FDU poll, and represents at 9% loss in Coons’s numbers from the previous Monmouth poll – last poll had Coons 57% to O’Donnell’s 38%. From the NJ:
In what is sure to be a surge of polling data coming at the end of the race, the newest numbers from Monmouth University show Democrat Chris Coons leading Republican Christine O’Donnell by 10 percentage points.
The newest poll, shows O’Donnell with 41 percent and Coons with 51 percent of those polled. The poll of 1171 likely voters was conducted October 25 to 27 and has a margin of error of 2.7 percentage points.
The poll also had Carney with a smaller lead:
Monmouth also polled the U.S. House race, finding Democrat John Carney ahead of Republican Glen Urquhart by 7 percentage points.
My guess for the discrepancy – the Likely Voter screen. FDU stated they didn’t see an “enthusiasm gap” in Delaware. I can’t guess what Monmouth is saying but I assume they have the Delaware electorate as more Republican-leaning than FDU does.
**UPDATE** Tommywonk tweets to me:
Which party would you like to control Congress? Monmouth D 38% R 40% Fairleigh Dickinson D 47% R 37%