I’m Calling The GOP Race for Perry
It is going to be Perry. I’m running 97.6% correct on these prognostications, so scoff at your own risk.
The GOP can’t escape it’s basic programming. It is hard wired to pick the strict daddy figure. Republicans are children who only feel safe when daddy can glare menacingly out the window at the Gonzales family who moved in next door. Nobody is going to be a bigger or more strict daddy over the course (coarse ? (wordplay bitches!)) of the GOP primary season than Perry.
Sorry Bachmann – Too much vagina, not enough penis. (Yes, I know your vagina (and your soul) is a leathery wasteland. Doesn’t matter)
Sorry Romney – You were nice to poor people once.
Sorry Ron Paul – We said strict daddy, not crazy grandpa.
Sorry everyone else – Just look at Rick Perry’s “Blue Steel” glare. You know you are voting for him too.
Bonus Round: How does this help Obama? I’m sure the TV pundits will fill us in on how this is great for Obama. Heck – maybe’s Obama’s 11th dimensional chess game forced the GOP into this move. Who knows. The one thing we can say about team Obama with confidence right now is that they will work hard to turn whatever built in advantages they have over Perry into disadvantages.
I too am making an ironclad prediction: Perry will NOT run on a platform of bipartisanship and compromise with the opposition.
He will also not chase moderates. He will define Obama as the far left and therefore redefine the right into the new moderates.
And Democrats will of course move further right to chase after those new righty moderates, as our own effed-up Democratic electoral philosophy dictates.
“There is no ‘blue America’ and ‘red America,’ there is only ‘red America’.” – Rick Perry
It’s gonna be a referendum on Obama. Perry’s job is to keep it that way and not sound too crazy after the primary. Perry’s most dangerous opponent is himself.
Perry has a number of simple tried-and-true campaign themes to select from, any one of which will probably work. Time for a change. Are you better off than you were four years ago. Ineffective, incompetent, Carteresque. Dogwhistles on race and patriotism. Deficit, debt, deficit, debt, unemployment.
All of of these charges can be factually argued down by a halfway competent intellect. But who will pay attention to the argument?
It’s simple enough: if the economy improves to the point where people have more confidence in it, and unemployment decreases noticeably, to the point where people aren’t afraid of losing their jobs, President Obama will be re-elected; if those things don’t happen, he won’t be.
In 1979, Ronnie Raygun was a far-right loon, a threat to peace, and all of that rot, while President Carter was the architect of the Camp David Peace Accords.
Then came the Ayatollah Khoumeini, the hostage crisis, the misery index and Governor Reagan’s simple point: “Are you better off today than you were four years ago?”
The problem for President Obama is a very simple one: he has failed at being President. It doesn’t matter how much you try to explain away his failures, or trash his opponent, it comes down to the very basic question of whether he has been a successful President. And unless things change drastically in the next fifteen months, the answer is going to be no, he was not successful.
Typical fuckface hard wired to pick the strict daddy figure.
A forceful advocate of the traditional Democratic kitchen-table issues would mop up any of the GOP candidates.
Obama had flashes of strict Daddy when he said Republicans drove us into a ditch and they couldn’t have the keys back. That sounded promising. But what we didn’t know was that he would then offer to drive them wherever they wanted to go.
David Plouffe is a goddamn idiot. Too, also.
Puck wrote:
I keep hearing the same thing, before every election, by my friends on the left, to the extent that, were it actually true, one would expect the Democrats to control literally everything, with the GOP picking up 17% of the vote.
Is it that your candidates are just uniformly wimpy, that they can’t be such “forceful advocates,” or is it that maybe, just maybe, “the traditional Democratic kitchen-table issues” don’t resonate quite the way you think they should.
Puck noted President Obama’s famous formulation:
Trouble is, President Obama’s solution wasn’t to call the wrecker, and have the car towed back out carefully, but hammer down on the throttle, until he smashed the bumper, bent the hood and stove in the grille.
In 2010, the voters suspended his license; in 2012, they’re going to take back the keys.
Sadly, Democratic voters are saddled with Democratic Politicians.
I agree with you that the GOP nominee will be Perry. I also think Romney or Huntsman will run as a third party moderate. I don’t think Perry can beat Obama, and a third party candidate won’t help.
I can do without the misogynistic comments about Bachmann’s vagina, however. Why was that necessary? Last time I checked, the left was still for gender equality.
“Is it that your candidates are just uniformly wimpy, that they can’t be such “forceful advocates,””
That one.
Perry does look strong. Look at the positive side, it gives you libs more time to destroy his character.
I don’t think Perry is going to need any help from libs on that project.
“I can do without the misogynistic comments about Bachmann’s vagina, however. Why was that necessary? Last time I checked, the left was still for gender equality.”
That took much longer than expected.
Governor “Good Hair” Perry is the candidate the president would love to run against.
The guys a loony-tune.
My good friend Jason wrote:
Well, this is, in the end, a democratic representative republic; if y’all don’t like the Democratic politicians you have, you can always find others. You’re not poor, Jason: if you are so dissatisfied with the Democratic politicians you have now, why don’t you run for office?
It’s kind of interesting that Democrats don’t have the Democratic politicians they want, but Republicans mostly do.
And my good friend Puck added:
While it’s difficult to imagine someone who has the courage to put his name up for election, exposing both himself and his family to every sort of mud-seeking investigation, as wimpy, if you believe that your Democratic politicians are “uniformly wimpy,” why don’t you run for office yourself, and show us what someone who is strong and aggressive and definitely anti-wimpy can do?
Be careful what you wish for
Running for office takes a bit more planning for it earlier in life than I have done. But it is a thought.
“It’s kind of interesting that Democrats don’t have the Democratic politicians they want, but Republicans mostly do.”
Correction. Not interesting Fuckface, sad. Sad for the country.
But will the liberal media still fawn over Perry after he whips out his manly cock during the next debate?
As a perry supporter once, so eloquently, said, “it takes balls to execute an innocent man”.
Whooooohooooo!!!
Democrats in Congress think we are all a bunch of right-wing cranks, so they govern accordingly. Because that’s who shows up at their events. Now I know why.
Chris Coons has been very busy this week, holding 3 workshops on different jobs issues, and one town-hall meeting. But you had to look very hard to find advance announcements of these meetings. No wonder liberals don’t show up.
Who knew Coons had a town hall meeting last night? The first I heard of it was on the WDEL website after it had finished. I couldn’t figure out how I had missed it, so I went back and checked for advance notices. There was a tiny article on the NJ website the day before, and something on the WDEL website a few hours in advance.
Coons had posted it on his Twitter feed on Aug. 18. On that day Coons had emailed me and asked me to sign some kind of petition for “tax reform,” but no mention of his upcoming town hall meeting. I had signed up for Coons’s email list just so I could stay informed of all things Coons. But apparently email is no longer enough.
Eff Twitter and twenty-somethings who would sooner write with a quill pen than send an email.
I listened to the podcast, and actually it was a very good panel discussion. Some teabaggery questions from the audience, but also some good solid Democrat questions. Coons stuck to his “tax reform, but no raising tax rates on the rich” party line. I admit to falling asleep listening to it last night, so I may have missed a few topics 🙂 If I get a chance I’ll catch up on the rest of it.
I’m pretty surprised not to hear anything about the Coons meetings here or anywhere else in the blogosphere, although I can’t really complain because you are all volunteers, and why don’t I go start my own blog yadda yadda.
Heck, there is probably a unannounced Carney meeting going on right now.
Truth Teller wrote:
Why? At least if Jason ran, we could expect the truth out of him concerning what he wanted to do.
The Obama campaign of 2008 was really an amazing exercise in deception, and self-deception. Republicans truly feared that he wanted to install some sort of European style socialism in the United States, even though that certainly wasn’t what he said, because we simply didn’t believe him. And I’d say that it’s fair to say that my friends on the left thought that President Obama really was further to the left than he campaigned, believing that he was just saying moderate things to get elected. The only saving grace for our republic is that if he really is further to the left, politically, that he’s just such a poor leader that he can’t get it done.
Were Jason a candidate, I don’t think that there’d be any question at all as to what his goals were.
Instead of Rick Perry, he is now known, in perpetuity, as Killface. Overseer and Grand Master of Death and Drought.
Von Cracker asked:
At least the gay ones will! 🙂
Okay Dana. I’m going to stop calling you by your nickname for now out of admiration for your persistence.
Maybe someone in Coons’ office just forgot to send out the notice by email. But his schedule is posted on his website: http://coons.senate.gov/blog/post/the-senators-week-ahead-schedule-august-22-to-august-28
Thanks, anon. I’ve looked for a schedule on the web site before. It never occurred to me to look on the blog! It’s even properly tagged, so you can find the schedule here each week: http://coons.senate.gov/blog/?tag=Schedule
Thanks for being so organized, Senator Coons and staff.
That said, Delaware lacks a really good events calendar. I would actually pay for a reliable and extensive online calendar of upcoming events.
The News Journal and WDEL are always full of stories about interesting events that happened yesterday.
“The News Journal and WDEL are always full of stories about interesting events that happened yesterday.”
I agree. TNJ may mention upcoming events, but they’re always buried in some unreachable recess of the ever-shrinking newspaper.
WDEL’s web site rarely lists upcoming events (though both TNJ & WDEL made a big deal of Carper’s phone-in “Town Hall” meeting) before they occur. It might be on the site, but it’s not easy to find.
The various Community News publications cover this stuff both before & after they happen. They have extensive listings of upcoming events They typically cover everything from NCC Council meetings to quilting meetings to mental health meetings to “Steam Team” events at Tom Marshall’s house.
Community News
I have no idea if there is an equivalent publication south of Kirkwood Hwy.