Romney’s Santorum Problem
I understand (sorta-kinda) Republican delegate math. I get that, according to those in the know, that Romney is still the favorite for the nomination, but…
Rick Santorum is now the National frontrunner. If you’re counting, that’s three polls showing Santorum ahead of Romney.
He’s also leading in Michigan.
An American Research Group Poll shows Santorum a 6 point lead over Romney in Michigan, 33% to 27%, and Public Policy Polling, gives Santorum a 15-point lead, 39 to 24%.
Given all this, can Romney still be viewed as inevitable? Can he lose Michigan, and it not be a big deal? Personally, I think Romney losing Michigan is a game changer.
Also… I’m beginning to wonder how effective SuperPacs will be against Santorum. The guy oozes underdog, and my guess is it wouldn’t take much to make him the ultimate victim while Mitt and his SuperPacs look like bullies who don’t fight fair. Could going negative on Santorum have a different effect than blowing up Newt did? I’m beginning to think so.
This Republican primary is unlike anything I’ve ever seen. And I have no idea how it will end.
Tags: 2012 Republican Presidential Primary, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum
It will end with President Obama singing more Al Green on jan20th 2013
Agreed. As much as it must be killing Mitt, from a drama perspective, this is not over. (Even if it is over from a numbers perspective.)
Santorum will also benefit from the media wanting this to be a horse race. If Mitt starts to pull away I can see some sort of damaging revelation come out and then be covered ad nauseum by the 24 hr. outlets to keep the race close and therefore interesting.
Ugh. the times we live in.
Who can believe any of these poll numbers. Rachel Maddow exposed last night that 3 counties in Maine numbers werent even counted….all there heavy Ron Paul voters. It’s all rigged..
“Ron Paul gets hosed by GOP” That’s a dog bites man story, and that’s why it isn’t being covered. Now if it was, “GOP hosed by Ron Paul,” that would be a whole ‘nuther, very newsworthy, thing.
“Who can believe any of these poll numbers.”
The most important number was 6,000 — that’s how few Republicans bothered to show up. Though I suppose that might jump to 7,000 once the missing votes are added.