Thursday Open Thread [3.15.12]
Check out this video from Alexandra Pelosi, the daughter of the former and next Speaker of the House, and the documentary filmmaker who did “Journeys with George” after the 2000 campaign. The right wing is going nuts over it, I guess because it peaks behind the curtain into the racist soul of the Republican base.
Mike Matthews, a premier Delaware blogger formerly of Down with Absolutes, is back at it with his newest blog “Mind of Mr. Matthews.”
“What should really give Republicans sleepless nights (if the numbers hold) is the demographic groups currently supporting Obama. In the Pew poll, Obama outperforms Romney by 20 points among all women, and by 31 points among women aged 19-49. He outperforms Romney by 28 points among young people 18-29 years old and ties him among people 65 and older. And he outperforms Romney in every region of the country and among every income group.” — Charles Blow
GENERAL ELECTION — PRESIDENT
NATIONAL (Pew): Obama d. Romney (54-42); Obama d. Santorum (57-39)
NATIONAL (Bloomberg/Selzer): Obama tied with Romney (47-47); Obama d. Paul (48-43); Obama d. Santorum (50-44); Obama d. Gingrich (52-41)
NATIONAL (Fox News): Obama d. Romney (46-42); Obama d. Paul (50-38); Obama d. Santorum (51-39); Obama d. Gingrich (53-35)
NATIONAL (Investors Business Daily/Christian Science Monitor/TIPP): Obama d. Romney (46-41); Obama d. Santorum (47-38); Obama d. Paul (49-36); Obama d. Gingrich (51-34)
NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney d. Obama (46-44); Obama d. Santorum (45-44)
NATIONAL (Reuters/Ipsos): Obama d. Santorum (52-42); Obama d. Romney (52-41); Obama d. Gingrich (54-37)
NORTH CAROLINA (PPP): Obama d. Romney (49-46); Obama d. Santorum (49-44); Obama d. Paul (48-41); Obama d. Gingrich (51-42)
PENNSYLVANIA (PPP): Obama d. Santorum (48-46); Obama d. Paul (47-41); Obama d. Romney (49-42); Obama d. Gingrich (51-39)
PENNSYLVANIA (Quinnipiac): Obama d. Santorum (45-44); Obama d. Paul (45-40); Obama d. Romney (46-40); Obama d. Gingrich (50-37)
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY — PRESIDENT
NATIONAL (Bloomberg/Selzer): Romney 37, Santorum 27, Gingrich 11, Paul 7
NATIONAL (Fox News): Romney 38, Santorum 32, Gingrich 13, Paul 12
NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Romney 33, Santorum 27, Gingrich 16, Paul 11
NATIONAL (Pew Research): Romney 33, Santorum 24, Gingrich 20, Paul 14
NATIONAL (Reuters/Ipsos): Romney 37, Santorum 32, Gingrich 12, Paul 11
CALIFORNIA (Rasmussen): Romney 43, Santorum 23, Gingrich 15, Paul 8
LOUISIANA (WWL-TV): Santorum 25, Romney 21, Gingrich 20, Paul 6
NORTH CAROLINA (PPP): Romney 31, Santorum 27, Gingrich 24, Paul 8
PENNSYLVANIA (PPP): Santorum 43, Romney 25, Gingrich 13, Paul 9
PENNSYLVANIA (Quinnipiac): Santorum 36, Romney 22, Paul 12, Gingrich 8
TEXAS (Rasmussen): Romney 32, Santorum 30, Gingrich 19, Paul 9
TEXAS (Wilson Perkins Allen): Santorum 35, Romney 27, Gingrich 20, Paul 8
A new Pew poll has information on the Republican Primary as well:
The survey finds that the contentious Republican primary has taken a toll on the image of the leading GOP candidates. In the current survey, just 29% of Americans say they have a favorable view of Romney, while 51% say they have an unfavorable impression. In November, opinions about Romney were more closely divided (36% favorable vs. 42% unfavorable). Santorum’s image has grown much more negative in the past month alone: 27% say they have a favorable view of Santorum, while 44% view him unfavorably. In February, about as many said they had a favorable opinion as an unfavorable one (33% vs. 36%). Obama’s personal image remains much more favorable than either Romney’s or Santorum’s. Currently, 56% of Americans say they have a favorable impression of Obama while 41% have an unfavorable view.
Just 36% have a favorable opinion of the GOP, compared with 56% who have an unfavorable opinion. That is largely unchanged from January (35% favorable vs. 58% unfavorable). Currently, 49% say they have a favorable impression of the Democratic Party, while 43% view the party unfavorably. In January, 43% viewed the Democratic Party favorably and 51% had an unfavorable impression.
GENERAL ELECTION — U.S. SENATOR
PENNSYLVANIA (PPP): Sen. Bob Casey (D) d. Sam Rohrer (R), 49-34; Casey d. Tom Smith (R), 49-31; Casey d. David Christian (R), 50-32; Bob Casey (D) d. Marc Scaringi (R), 49-29; Bob Casey (D) d. Steve Welch (R), 49-29.
