The Polling Report [10.23.12]

I am separating the Polling Reports again today just because we have a large number of downballot polls for the Senate and Governor's races, coupled with our standard load of National, National Tracking and State polls. The national polls are multiplying like rabbits, and today, that have the race ranging from Obama +4, to Obama +3, to Obama +2 to Obama +1 to Tied to Romney +1, Romney +2, Romney +3, and Romney +6. Something for everyone's reality. But here is today's map:

Debate Reaction

“Well, Scott, the uncommitted voters in our survey - immediately after the debate was over - gave a clear victory to President Obama this evening.” A CBS News poll of undecided voters favored Obama, 53% to 23%. Mitt Romney once again came in third, behind Tied, at 24%. A CNN instant poll of registered voters that violently oversampled Republicans found President Obama still won, 48% to 40%. A Public Policy Polling survey of swing state voters also came out in favor of the president, 53% to 42%. To put in perspective this polling, consider the results of the polls after the first debate, considered to be a blowout even by us liberals in favor of Mitt Romney. Then, the the CBS poll of undecided voters taken immediately after the event showed the Republican winning the debate by 24 points. Last night it is Obama won by 30. Now let's see our "liberal" lamestream mainstream whateverstream media fellate him now as they did Mitt Romney after the First Debate. Come inside for more reaction.

Tuesday Daily Delawhere [10.23.12]

Sorry this is late. One of the things I hate about debate nights is that I am too keyed up to go to sleep at my normal bedtime of 11, right after the end of the debate. I have to stay up and listen to the post debate coverage, and then as I force myself upstairs to bed I am still checking Twitter for another hour. Ugh. Well, at least that is over with for another four years. Join us next time in 2016 when we will hear from the Democratic nominee, Hillary Rodham Clinton, and the Republican nominee, Rick Santorum.

The Final Presidential Debate Live Blog and Watch Party

First, several of us will be at the Chelsea Tavern this evening starting at 8 pm for a Debate Watch Party. We hope you can drop by. If you are stuck at home you can join us for the Live Blog of the debate. To join the live blog, click on the word "Liveblog" in the horizontal menu at the top right of the page near the dateline. For the instructionally challenged, here is a picture of what you are supposed to click on. Once you get to the Liveblog login page, type in a user name and leave the password line blank, and click Login. And there you go.

Bodenweiser Indicted on 113 Felony counts.

According to the Cape Gazette just now:
Following a grand jury investigation, former state Senate candidate Eric Bodenweiser was indicted Oct. 22 on 113 felony counts. He faces 39 charges of first-degree unlawful sexual intercourse and 74 charges of unlawful sexual contact in the second degree. The Attorney General's Office has sealed the indictment; details of the charges are not available.
Damn. For those who don't know, Eric Bodeweiser was the Republican candidate for Senator in the 19th Senate Distict in Sussex County, Delaware. He officially withdrew his candidacy last week amid rumors of these charges. Bodenweiser was, and probably still is, a star of the downstate Tea Party movement. Indeed, the last time he was seen in public was during a fundraiser with the Queen Bee herself, Christine O'Donnell. First Degree Unlawful Sexual Intercourse is another term for First Degree Rape, I believe. I cannot find a separate crime for it under the Delaware Code. Second Degree Unlawful Sexual Contact occurs when the person intentionally has sexual contact with another person who is less than 18 years of age or causes the victim to have sexual contact with the person or a third person. This is a class F felony.

Let’s Review Romney’s Initial Statements On Libya

Romney may want to argue over the word "terror" now, but that wasn't what he did the night of the attack in Libya. Romney's initial statement on Libya:
“I’m outraged by the attacks on American diplomatic missions in Libya and Egypt and by the death of an American consulate worker in Benghazi,” the statement read. “It’s disgraceful that the Obama Administration’s first response was not to condemn attacks on our diplomatic missions, but to sympathize with those who waged the attacks.” The assertion that the administration sympathized with attackers was derived from a statement by the U.S. Embassy in Cairo — before the compound was breached — criticizing an anti-Muslim film that “hurt the religious feelings” of others.
Got that?  Romney was responding to a statement from the U.S. Embassy in Cairo - people who were trying to calm a potentially explosive situation.  He wasn't harping on terror.  He didn't call it a terrorist attack.  (Not that he should have at the time)  He was claiming that President Obama's first response was to "sympathize with those who waged the attacks."

Monday Open Thread [10.22.12]

As we now two weeks out from the election, although I do loving polling, they become less important than the ground game. And that is why the Obama campaign's early voting and registration efforts are so important. Let's take a look at two states that will decide the election: Nevada and North Carolina.

“Who Am I?”

I oppose civil unions, both generally and specifically (SB 30).” “I support the strengthening and maintaining marriage as the union of one man and one woman, and not redefining or adding to man/woman marriage.” “I oppose adding ‘gender identity or gender expression’ to the protected classes in Delaware’s anti-discrimination laws for housing, employment, and public accomodation.” “I support prohibiting coverage for abortion in the state insurance exchanges mandated by the new federal health care law.” “I oppose using tax payer money to fund Planned Parenthood and other organizations that provide abortion services.” “I support a policy that ensures parental guardian notification prior to the introduction or instructional use of classroom curriculum or materials, whether brought or introduced by school educators, administrators, and officials, or by guests invited at their request, which involve human sexual education, human sexuality issues, sexual acts, family planning, profanity, drugs or alcohol.” “Last, but not least, I support a Delaware Marriage Protection Amendment defining marriage between a man and a woman in the state constitution.” “Now, there will be some among the pro-gay and pro-abortion crowd who will claim that I support them and do not support these Christian common sense principles. Some may even say that I’ve told them that I support them. I am here to set the straight by proving, once and for all, what I stand for.” “When the good folks at the Delaware Family Planning Council and Delaware Strong Families sent out their questionnaire for the 2012 elections, many legislators refused to respond. But I didn’t hesitate. I believe in strong families, and I am proud to make my beliefs public.” “I note that some of you out there are skeptical that these are my real positions on these issues. While I believe that I’ve earned your trust over the past years, I will spell it out for you non-believers. Directly from the questionnaire (it’s a PDF file, so feel free to tagg along):

The Polling Report [10.22.12]

We have some new polls out of Michigan, Ohio and Pennsylvania this morning, but no changes in the map below. The national and tracking polls are all over the place. We have one tracking poll giving the President a six point lead, 2 giving Romney a 2 point lead, 2 showing the race tied, and Gallup giving Romney a 7 point lead.

A Sunday Polling Report? Yes, A Sunday Polling Report [10.21.12]

And the star of today's special Sunday edition of the Polling Report is the state of Florida, where there are 5 new polls out this weekend. We have other polling out of Iowa, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Virginia and Ohio. Now, let me ask you something. If President Obama wins Florida, Virginia, Ohio and North Carolina, then it stands to reason he will also be winning Iowa and New Hampshire, right? Well, not according to this weekend's polls.