Last Night’s Debate: Libya

Delaware Dem is buried under polling numbers, so I'm jumping in on this - with DD's blessing! There are two separate issues concerning the exchange on Libya last night.  I'll deal with the easy one first.

The Polling Report Part II: The Senate Forecast [10.17.12]

Our last Senate Forecast Update was seven days ago, so we are due to update our little chart. I have gone back and looked at all the Senate polls from the past week, including today's wealth of YouGov polls, and updated the chart. Based on all the Senate polls of the last week, the Democrats in the Senate would pick up Massachusetts and Maine (well, Angus King will pick it up, but he is nearly assured of caucusing with the Dems, especially if President Obama wins election and the Dems retain the Senate), while the Republicans looks set to pick up Montana and Nebraska. There are two races that are exactly tied at this moment: North Dakota and Virginia. If the Dems lose both of the tied races, then the final tally would be Dems 51, GOP 49, a net pickup for the GOP of two seats.

Wednesday Open Thread [10.17.12]

Both national polls that were taken immediately following last night's presidential debate at Hofstra University show President Obama besting Romney by 7 percent. A CNN/ORC poll indicates that 46 percent of voters who watched the debate said that the president won, while 39 percent said Romney won (and the sample in the poll was about 8 percent more Republican than polls taken among all Americans this year). In a CBS News instant poll taken right after the debate, 37 percent of "uncommitted" voters said the president won, 30 percent gave Romney the edge, and 33 percent said it was a tie. A snap poll by Public Policy Polling in swing state of Colorado gave President Obama a 48-44 edge, while CO Independents said that the President won by 58-36 percent. For those who want a detailed point-by-point review of the debate in print as well as video, The New York Times has an interactive transcript of the Hempstead debate with a dynamic fact-checking sidebar.

The Polling Report [10.16.12]

Holy mother of God do we have a lot of polls today. We have so much polls that I have divided this Polling Report up into two sections. The first section deals with the Presidential race, and the second section, which will be posted later this afternoon, deals with the down ballot races for Senate and Governor, in which we will have a Senate Forecast update. So here is our new Electoral College map as it stands here today. Remember, my methodology is as follows: 1) the map is based exclusively on the polls below and on the most recent credible poll from that state if there is no poll from the state below; 2) we do not base our projections in the map upon any Rasmussen or Republican polling outfit, 3) if we have two or more polls on a single day from the same state, we average the results together, and 4) the map legend reveals why each state is colored the way they are colored.

Reaction to Last Night’s Debate

Pandora will have a post up shortly on Romney's stunning and revealing statements that revealed him to be a male chauvinist asshole, and I will have a detailed post up on Libya later this morning after the Polling Report (which we have a lot of, by the way), but here is what is being said across the mainstream and liberal and conservative media this morning. And I hear from Dana Garrett that Joe Scarborough has that sour puss on his face that reveals when his guy lost and Joe knows it.

Picture of the Day

Sometimes a picture says it all. In the unfocused background, you have the President smiling and amused. In the foreground, you have a lying asshole bully being smacked down and knowing it.

The 2nd Presidential Debate Live Blog

We did not do a Live Blog during the first presidential debate due to technical difficulties. We had one up and running for the vice presidential debate. If the President does well tonight then we will know for certain that Delaware Liberal is responsible for the President's first debate performance. If not, well then we are all truly screwed. Join us tonight in the Liveblog. To join, click on the link "Liveblog" on the menu in the top right section of the site. For illustrative purposes... And then click in your alias and delete the password box and login.

This Can’t Be True, Can It?

Richard Williamson is Mitt Romney’s top foreign policy advisor, the guy who orchestrated Romney’s original effort to exploit the attack in Libya before it was even clear the US Ambassador had died. Now he’s saying that Romney will insist Obama “man up” and take responsibility for the Ambassador’s death at tonight’s debate.
There are two reasons why I think Mitt Romney wouldn’t dare try and pull this off. First, reports from people who were actually in Libya are citing the video as the initial reason they heard for the attack, and second… Mitt uttering the words man up? Yeah, that would sound natural. If I were Romney I’d tread carefully here. He already has parents of fallen embassy officials calling him out for politicizing this tragedy.

Tuesday Open Thread [10.16.12]

The candidates for governor of Delaware squared off in a debate Tuesday morning on WDEL. Unfortunately I was at work and missed it. Was anyone at Widener to see the debate or did you listen on WDEL?