The Polling Report [10.3.12] — Dominique is no longer laughing Edition

Our resident racist Sarah Palin fan laughed at the notion that President Obama could be winning 350 electoral votes yesterday. Well, new polling released yesterday puts the President within 3 votes of that benchmark, and there is more bad news for her and her illiterate bigoted ilk: Romney is losing support in red states. New Polls out of Missouri and Louisiana show tightening races in those states. Here is our new map today:

The Party That Cried Wolf

So I read this today... American Crossroads and its affiliate Crossroads GPS are going up today with their biggest paid media push so far in the 2012 cycle, with a…

Tuesday Open Thread [10.2.12]

First Read:
"Heading into tomorrow night's first presidential debate, both President Obama and challenger Mitt Romney have two big vulnerabilities that his opponent can exploit. And it's safe to say that whichever candidate better addresses his vulnerabilities will have more success in Wednesday's debate." "For Obama, one of his vulnerabilities is that he hasn't fully described what a second term would look like... For Mitt Romney, a big vulnerability is that he hasn't differentiated his economic policies from George W. Bush's."
This is a rather tired media narrative and Republican talking point: that Obama has not told us what he will do in a second term. Only illiterates and the stupid can possibly say that. He is going to continue to do the things the Republicans continue to block: the passage of the American Jobs Act, the repeal of the tax cuts for the wealthy, the Dream Act, Immigration Reform, implementation and improvement of Obamacare, ending the war in Afghanistan, and investing in new energies (solar, wind) and high speed rail, internet and highway infrastructure. I mean, did these people (idiots like Chuck Todd) not watch his convention speech?

The Polling Report [10.2.12]

Andrew Sullivan:
Romney, by the way, has had a bounce back on Intrade, up from around 21 percent chance to 26 percent. Nate Silver's now-cast has Romney with a 2.2 percent chance; and his forecast for November gives him a 14 percent chance. I didn't expect it to break this way - but it has, because of the arguments of both sides. Campaigns matter. The candidate matters. And the moment matters. It's an alchemy democracy; and it still holds the potential for surprise.
I did expect it to break this way. As did Booman, who is now seeing the beginnings of a blowout. Here is our map:

Breaking: No IDs Required to Vote in Pennsylvania

This just in, and it is good news for the good guys -- the lower courts judge who was required to review an earlier decision has made his ruling, mostly leaving the law in place, but noting that if you show up to vote and have no ID, you are allowed to vote. There's more to come, I'm sure, but this seems to be the nut of it:

Predict the Post Debate Media Narrative!

As Robert Wright notes in his Atlantic article, The Coming Romney Comeback Narrative, the media doesn't much like a static political narrative. It is the unfortunate byproduct of the horse race reporting they are fond of and the need to capture eyeballs. Wright posits multiple paths that the media narrative may go after tomorrow's debate (although it is worth it to read his entire article), but jump in the comments to make your own prediction of the new drama the media will be working on after tomorrow's Presidential Debate.

The Internet Changed Everything

Max Frankel, a former editorial page editor, wrote a wonderful piece about Arthur Ochs Sulzberger, the New York Times publisher who recently passed away. The article talks how Sulzberger "never…