Delaware Liberal

The November 3, 2016 Thread

Delaware Dem

NATIONAL–Reuters–CLINTON 45, Trump 38
NATIONAL–ABC Tracking–CLINTON 49, Trump 47
NATIONAL–CBS News/NY Times–CLINTON 45, Trump 42
OHIO–Quinnipiac–TRUMP 46, Clinton 41
FLORIDA–Quinnipiac–CLINTON 46, Trump 45
FLORIDA–CNN/ORC–CLINTON 49, Trump 47
WISCONSIN–Marquette–CLINTON 46, Trump 40
COLORADO–Emerson–CLINTON 44, Trump 41
COLORADO–Univ. of Colorado–CLINTON 44, Trump 34
NEVADA–CNN/ORC–TRUMP 49, Clinton 43
ARIZONA–CNN/ORC–TRUMP 49, Clinton 44
ARIZONA–Emerson–TRUMP 47, Clinton 43
NORTH CAROLINA–Quinnipiac–CLINTON 47, Trump 44
PENNSYLVANIA–CNN/ORC–CLINTON 48, Trump 44
PENNSYLVANIA–Quinnipiac–CLINTON 48, Trump 43
PENNSYLVANIA–Monmouth–CLINTON 48, Trump 44
VIRGINIA–Winthrop–CLINTON 44, Trump 39

Nevada political expert Jon Ralston says ignore Nevada polls and pay attention to the early vote:

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “Hillary Clinton has picked an awful time to hit one of the rough patches that has plagued her throughout the campaign. Now with just days to go until Election Day, there’s added uncertainty about the outcome. But while she may not be on the brink of an Electoral College win the size of Barack Obama’s in 2008 or even 2012, her position as the clear frontrunner in this race endures.”

Cook Political Report: “A tightening race nationally has also translated into tightening at the state level. States that were trending Trump’s way in September started to slip away from him in early October. Now, with the focus more on Clinton’s emails than on Trump’s debate performances or his Twitter spats, states like Iowa and Ohio are moving back in Trump’s direction… However, these are minor, not major adjustments to the overall Electoral College map with Clinton now at 278 (8 more votes than she needs to win) and Trump at 214 (56 short of 270).”

Senate Democratic leader-in-waiting Chuck Schumer told Bloomberg he’s lost confidence in FBI Director James Comey over his handling of the most recent disclosure in the Hillary Clinton e-mail investigation — a tough rebuke to a man Schumer has long admired.

Said Schumer: “I do not have confidence in him any longer. To restore my faith, I am going to have to sit down and talk to him and get an explanation for why he did this.”

According to a new study, a hidden army of Donald Trump voters that’s undetected by the polls is unlikely to materialize on Election Day. “The study — which was comprised of interviews with likely voters conducted over the phone with a live interviewer, and other interviews conducted online without a personal interaction — showed only a slight, not-statistically-significant difference in their effect on voters’ preferences for president.”

LOL, the UK just found its Brexit off ramp. The MPs are now forced to vote on it. I will highly respect any MP who says, the voters are wrong.

Zack Beauchamp at Vox says forget conspiracy theories. This is why Trump’s Russian connection is actually a problem:

The problem with these stories isn’t just that they’re speculative. It’s that they obscure and even discredit the more sober evidence about Trump’s troubling attitude toward the Russian state.

There is basically conclusive evidence that Russia is interfering in the US election, and that this interference has been designed to damage Hillary Clinton’s campaign. There is strong evidence linking Trump’s foreign policy advisers to Russia, and Trump’s stated policy ideas are extremely favorable to Russian interests.

You don’t need to construct poorly evidenced conspiracy theories to explain this. There is a confluence of interests between the Kremlin and Donald Trump, and they are, in effect, helping each other. Russia’s role in the election is plenty worrying without positing any Manchurian Candidate plots. Here’s why.

A new CDC report finds just 8.9% of Americans don’t have health insurance coverage, the lowest percentage ever recorded.

Huffington Post: “This latest survey of the uninsured population underscores what the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare, has achieved in its first three years of being fully online. The uninsured rate had hovered around 15 percent in previous years, until the health care reform law’s expansion of Medicaid to poor adults, and introduction of subsidized private health insurance for low- and moderate-income families became available.”

Reuters: “As the most divisive presidential election in recent memory nears its conclusion, some armed militia groups are preparing for the possibility of a stolen election on Nov. 8 and civil unrest in the days following a victory by Democrat Hillary Clinton.”

“They say they won’t fire the first shot, but they’re not planning to leave their guns at home, either.”

“Trump’s populist campaign has energized militia members… Trump has repeatedly warned that the election may be ‘rigged,’ and has said he may not respect the results if he does not win. At least one paramilitary group, the Oath Keepers, has called on members to monitor voting sites for signs of fraud.”

Politico: “Energized by Trump’s candidacy and alarmed by his warnings of a ‘rigged election,’ white nationalist, alt-right and militia movement groups are planning to come out in full force on Tuesday, creating the potential for conflict at the close of an already turbulent campaign season.”

The Communist Party USA urges a vote for Hillary Clinton: “Bernie Sanders is right. This is not the year to cast a protest vote.” I have to wonder just how crazy and far left do you have to be to vote for Jill Stein at this point.

Ross Douthat on why conservatives must defeat Trump: “I agree with them that grave evils will follow from electing Hillary Clinton. But the Trump alternative is like a feckless war of choice in the service of some just-seeming end, with a commanding general who likes war crimes. It’s a ticket on a widening gyre, promising political catastrophe and moral corruption both, no matter what ideals seem to justify it.”

“It is a hard thing to accept that some elections should be lost, especially in a country as divided over basic moral premises as our own. But just as the pro-life movement ultimately won real gains — in lives saved, laws altered, abortion rates reduced — by accepting the legitimacy of the republic even as it deplored the killing of the unborn, so today’s conservatism has far more to gain from the defeat of Donald Trump, and the chance to oppose Clintonian progressivism unencumbered by his authoritarianism, bigotry, misogyny and incompetence, than it does from answering the progressive drift toward Caesarism with a populist Elagabalus.”

“Not because it is guaranteed long-term victory in that scenario or any other. But because the deepest conservative insight is that justice depends on order as much as order depends on justice. So when Loki or the Joker or some still-darker Person promises the righting of some grave wrong, the defeat of your hated enemies, if you will only take a chance on chaos and misrule, the wise and courageous response is to tell them to go to hell.”

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