General Assembly Predictions
The Democrats are not in jeopardy of losing the House. In fact, I predict they will pick up two seats, the 9th RD with Monique Johns in Jason330’s Upset Special, and Bradley Connor in the 41st RD. That would give the Dems 27 seats again, and the Republicans will have 14 seats.
The Senate is a more close run thing. As I have said before, there are three races where it is conceivable the Republican could win. They only need two seats to gain a majority of 11-10. Currently, there are 12 Democrats and 9 Republicans. Those seats are the 1st SD, with features Harris McDowell and James Spadola; the 8th SD, with David Sokola and Meredith Chapman; and the 14th SD, with Bruce Ennis and Carl Pace. It would not surprise me if Carl Pace wins, but I feel all three seats will remain with the Dems because of the Presidential turnout. If this was a midterm year, I could see all three go Republican with a lower Democratic turnout. But all three will be saved by the turnout for Hillary Clinton and Lisa Blunt Rochester. So the Senate will remain the same.
I really hope you’re right about the Senate, as for the House you might want to look over 33 & 37…. The democratic candidates have a chance to win by a slim margin
It’s Bobby Outten, not Bill.
According to Alan Loudel this morning, he has talked to many more “straight ticket” voters this morning than usual.
I suspect results will show a DEGOP utterly devastated by Charlie Copeland’s rank incompetence.
Carl pace is a good candidate and probably could win the democratic count council seat. Bruce Ennis had well- credential, well-financed farmer run against him last time. Ennis routed him. Ennis is a legend in his district and will win by ar least a thousand votes
I’ve seen more than one house in Newark that have both Clinton and Chapman signs in their yards. How widespread that kind of ticket splitting is will probably determine whether Chapman can knock off Sokola. Two weeks ago I thought she was about 75% likely to win, but some outside groups supporting Chapman have started dumping a lot of negative mailers in the district in the last couple of weeks, which may have the unintended consequence of reminding all the potential ticket spitters that Chapman is Republican (a point she has studiously avoided making herself).
BTW – I was pissed off at Charlie Copeland, but having voted, now I’m really pissed off at him for installing the ridiculous KHN as President of New Castle County Council through his rank incompetence.
I see no way that Monique Johns wins the 9th. None. Nada. Zilch.
Cut-n-save for when I’m wrong. (Reverse black-cat in progress…).