Delaware Dem's Latest Posts
Open Thread for Saturday, October 8, 2016
Charlie Cook: “Let’s start with the caveats: A lot can happen in the 34 days before the election. The polls are not as reliable as they used to be. People act in unpredictable ways in the polling booth. All that said, this race has fallen into a fairly predictable pattern. When Donald Trump veers off message and Hillary Clinton performs well, her lead swells to 6, 7, or 8 points. When Trump sticks to his script and Clinton goes through a bumpy patch as she did with her bout of pneumonia, her edge drops down to 1 or 2 points, and sometimes she winds up dead even. Most of the time, Clinton is up by 3 to 5 points.”
“When presidential candidates are ahead by 3 points, they tend to lead by at least a little in a lot of states, and the Electoral College inflates their margin of victory. When the popular-vote gap gets to 4 or 5 points, more states fall in line and the race turns into an electoral rout. It’s only when a race is effectively even or within a point or so does the Electoral College become truly competitive.”
Open Thread for Friday, October 7, 2016
Florida Gov. Rick Scott (R), the chairman of the super PAC backing Donald Trump’s presidential campaign, has refused to extend the Tuesday deadline for voter registration as requested by Hillary Clinton’s campaign due to Hurricane Matthew, Politico reports.
Said Scott: “Everybody has had a lot of time to register.”
Scott is the Chairman of the Trump’s Florida campaign. South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley has extended her state’s deadline.
Never vote for the party that does not want you to vote.
UD Poll: Markell, Denn, Coons, Carper, Carney and Simpler all viewed favorably
The UD Poll has released further results on the standings of our current elected officials, and the results are good across the board. Voters view Senator Tom Carper favorably by a margin of 64-17; Governor Jack Markell 62-25; Congressman Carney and 2016 Democratic nominee for Governor John Carney 59-18; Senator Christopher Coons 56-25; Attorney General Matt Denn 47-16; and State Treasurer Ken Simpler 34-10.
Open Thread for Thursday, October 6, 2016
The Atlantic, for only the third time since their founding in the 1850’s, have endorsed a candidate: Hillary Clinton, who joins the ranks of Abraham Lincoln and Lyndon Johnson.
Today, our position is similar to the one in which The Atlantic’s editors found themselves in 1964. We are impressed by many of the qualities of the Democratic Party’s nominee for president, even as we are exasperated by others, but we are mainly concerned with the Republican Party’s nominee, Donald J. Trump, who might be the most ostentatiously unqualified major-party candidate in the 227-year history of the American presidency…
Our interest here is not to advance the prospects of the Democratic Party, nor to damage those of the Republican Party. If Hillary Clinton were facing Mitt Romney, or John McCain, or George W. Bush, or, for that matter, any of the leading candidates Trump vanquished in the Republican primaries, we would not have contemplated making this endorsement. We believe in American democracy, in which individuals from various parties of different ideological stripes can advance their ideas and compete for the affection of voters. But Trump is not a man of ideas. He is a demagogue, a xenophobe, a sexist, a know-nothing, and a liar. He is spectacularly unfit for office, and voters—the statesmen and thinkers of the ballot box—should act in defense of American democracy and elect his opponent.
Open Thread for Wednesday, October 5, 2016
Pence had a much tougher job at the outset. After Donald Trump’s disastrous debate performance last week, Pence needed to do something to reverse the momentum. He didn’t do it. Aside from brushing aside what Trump has said, it’s not clear what his strategy was. On some issues, like Russia and Syria, Pence actually disagreed with Trump. All Kaine needed to do was make the debate about Donald Trump but he couldn’t do it either. He came off as nervous and overly rehearsed. He didn’t effectively call out Pence for denying basic facts about Trump. If you scored the debate on style, Pence probably won narrowly. He looked into the camera and came off as the calmer of the two. I suspect most instant polls will find Pence the winner. However, Kaine was a much better running mate. He defended the nominee at the top of his ticket. Pence wasn’t willing to do it.
After watching the debate, it’s clear that Kaine is running for vice president in 2016. But Pence sounded more like he’s running for president in 2020.
Poll: Carney, Rochester Cruising
The University of Delaware Poll that had Hillary winning Delaware over Trump by 21 points also has her down ballot Democrats doing well, unsurprisingly.
Open Thread for Tuesday, October 4, 2016
Here’s Alexander Burns on tonight’s debate:
Mr. Pence can expect to be challenged on Mr. Trump’s denigrating comments about Alicia Machado, a former Miss Universe; on Mr. Trump’s attacks on Mrs. Clinton’s marriage; and on the prospect that Mr. Trump may have gone nearly two decades without paying federal income taxes. And those are just the hits from last week.
Up to this point, Mr. Pence has proved adept at deflecting questions about Mr. Trump’s incendiary comments, redirecting interviews to rote talking points about shaking up Washington. But a debate is an entirely different format; and as Senator Marco Rubio of Florida found, using the same dodge over and over again can have catastrophic consequences.
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