Delaware Dem

The Polling Report [10.15.12] – Obama Regains National Lead.

A New York Magazine poll of political insiders, asked to predict the winner of the presidential election, finds President Obama overwhelmingly favored over Mitt Romney, 82% to 18%. These are the same political insiders that were jonesing for a close dramatic race, right? Meanwhile, a new Reuters/Ipsos poll shows President Obama leads Mitt Romney by a 59% to 31% among those who have already voted. With the November 6 election just more than three weeks away, 7% of those surveyed said they had already voted either in person or by mail.

There is a new Washington Post-ABC News poll out this morning that gives much comfort to we nervous Democratic wusses. First, the poll finds President Obama leading Mitt Romney among likely voters, 49% to 46%, “basically unmoved from the poll two weeks ago, just before the two candidates met in Denver for their first debate.”

“Nearly two-thirds say they do not need any more information before Election Day, and barely one in eight is undecided or says there is a chance he could change his vote. Even as voters overwhelmingly perceive that Romney won the first debate, the vast majority say their opinion of the president did not shift as a result.”

“But more people changed their views of Romney, largely in a positive direction. Overall, more than twice as many say their opinions of the former Massachusetts governor improved than say they worsened as a result of the debate. The strongest reaction is among Romney backers, 70 percent of whom say Denver made them think more highly of the GOP nominee.”

This poll is not an outlier. Other polls showed the President retaking the national lead from Romney as the latter’s debate bounce fades.

Here is our new map:

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Bodenweiser suspends campaign

So Eric Bodenweiser has informed State Republican Party Chairman John Sigler via email!!!! yesterday that he was suspending his campaign for personal reasons.

Those personal considerations and distractions are most likely the rumors that are now the subject of a police investigation. And for the first time, a news organization finally hints at those rumors:

Duke Brooks, a spokesman for the Sussex County Republican Committee, said committee members learned about two weeks ago of rumors involving allegations of serious criminal conduct by Bodenweiser about 20 years ago.

Hopefully this odious man named Eric Bodenweiser is gone from our politics forever. And hopefully Christine O’Donnell and her insane group of Teabaggers currently running the Republican Party in this state are gone too. But if they insist, despite this humiliation, to continue inflecting our body politic with their cancer, then next time hopefully they will more fully vet their candidates.

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Friday Open Thread [10.12.12]

Ed Kilgore:

Having slept on it, and read this morning’s ruminations from near and far, I haven’t had any blazing new insights on last night’s vice-presidential debate, but am convinced more than ever that Biden’s performance, whatever its effect on swing voters, dispelled a dark cloud over the Democratic tribe. And that’s not just because it might have interrupted Romney’s “momentum” or countered the president’s “loss” last week.

In retrospect, what dispirited an awful lot of Democrats about the first presidential debate was that it emblemized the fear that in an intense, high-stakes battle with an ascendant and radicalized conservative movement, progressive elected officials just didn’t have the willingness or ability to make a full and passionate case for their own cause. That was at the heart of criticisms not only of the president’s demeanor, but also of his many missed opportunities to rebut Romney and expose the rickety substructure of the mendacious self-presentation Moderate Mitt was attempting. And this is obviously a complaint that’s been just under the surface of mixed progressive attitudes towards Obama and many other Democratic leaders for years now.

Damn straight. We want fighters. The President let us down last week but he can recover. I know he is not as fiery as Biden and has a more measured “keep cool and calm” temperament, but the moment calls for righteous indignation and a fervent defense of all the good he has done. He is the most accomplished President since President Roosevelt. That is not spin, that is the fact. He needs to forcefully defend all he has done and will continue to do. He failed last week but hopefully he was taking notes on Air Force One while he was watching his Vice President fillet Congressman Ryan. Sure we don’t expect Biden’s laughter and eye rolls and the Biden Smile. But we expect the Obama smile and the patented Obama “That’s Not True.” I can hear it being said forcibly in my mind because the President has said it before. Now is not the time for politeness. Or kindness. If Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan are going to lie they need to be called on it repeatedly.

By the way, here is a pic of the President on Air Force One watching the debate:

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Question of the Day. Or Joke of the Day.

You know what’s the difference between Sarah Palin and Paul Ryan?

Lipstick.

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The Polling Report [10.12.12]

Florida and Colorado move to the red column today, and it takes the President’s electoral college vote number down to the lowest point since before the summer. But no worries, since the statewide polling has now caught up to the Romney debate bounce reflected in the national polls earlier in the week. Now we get to see how Vice President Biden’s performance last night and how President Obama’s second debate affect the race. Here is the map:

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The Eric Bodenweiser Rumor, and now the Eric Bodenweiser Police Investigation

The News Journal is out with a story by Jonathan Starkey and James Fisher concerning Bodenweiser’s continued absence from the campaign trail and the confirmed existence of a criminal investigation into Bodenweiser personally. Here are the relevant details from the story about that investigation.

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