For the first time in what seems like months, we have a state flipping sides. A poll out of Colorado gives Romney a slim lead, and so we change the color on the map. This is the nadir of the campaign for Obama supporters, waiting on a ledge for two more Presidential debates and tomorrow's Vice Presidential debate to erase our horrid memories (and the media's) of last week's unpleasantness. The good news is that the Romney debate bounce is already fading, with his best polling days (in terms of samples) being Thursday and Friday last week, and then Obama mounting a comeback on Saturday and Sunday most likely due to the excellent jobs report showing over 200,000 jobs being added in September, August and July.
Nate Cohn: "Over the next few days, more surveys will weigh-in on the size of Romney's post-debate bounce. But it's important to keep an eye on whether the polls are measuring the peak of Romney's bounce, which looks like it was around 4 points before the polls with Sunday interviews pointed toward a smaller one, or whether they're measuring the weekend and later, when there are signs that Romney's bounce began to fade. Resolving the size of Romney's bounce and whether it lasted are two important, but separate questions. We'll need to be careful to track both."
Meanwhile, a
new ABC News/Washington Post poll still finds Mitt Romney's favorability rating underwater, though the last debate helped raise his favorables. And though President Obama had a bad debate, he did not damage his favorability either. In fact, he increased it. Romney is now seen favorably by 47% of registered voters overall, unfavorably by 51%; Obama's rating is better, 55% to 44%.
Amy Walter: "The good news for Romney: He's seen a boost in his favorability ratings. The bad news: More still see him unfavorably than favorably. There have only been four presidential candidates in recent history who were underwater in favorability, at least briefly. All lost. John Kerry and Jimmy Carter in September, Walter Mondale, George H.W. Bush in October."
So the roller coaster continues...