2012 Was The Year Of The Woman

31 Comments
Women made up 53% of the electorate this year and Republicans failed spectacularly, again, at basic math.  My guess is that they'll keep on failing, choosing to focus on Hispanics while ignoring that Hispanic women are part of that whopping 53%.  So are African American women and Asian women - which means that women are the biggest voter demographic Republicans need to win an election. Republicans are frighteningly out of touch with women who handed the election to President Obama.  They refused to accept, and even mocked - I'm looking at you, Joe Scarborough - that women's reproductive rights were a serious economic concern.  They dismissed rape in the way one dismisses a hangnail.  And they lost.  Big time.

His ass good and truly kicked, Sigler strikes a belligerent tone for the party faithful

9 Comments
GOPers get such boners for the tough talk, that this kind of thing could very well keep him out of hot water with the loons.
There can be no doubt that, compared to 2 years ago, the Delaware Republican Party is focused, unified, and committed to serving as an active opposition party, raising the red flag and sounding the alarm each time there is an attempt to tax, borrow, and spend away Delaware's future. We are placing Governor Jack Markell and the Democrats in the legislature on notice, "You are being watched and the Republican Party will ensure that you are held accountable by the press and the people of Delaware."
What a joke.

Your Turn

17 Comments
What are your predictions, nationally and locally? I've made my predictions over the last several days on the Presidency, the new Congress, our statewide and New Castle County races, and all 62 races in the State House of Representatives and State Senate. Make your predictions here in the comments, and in doing so, feel free to use the 270towin electoral college predictor map. And if you are so inclined, tell us how you are voting today. If you don't want to, no pressure, you don't have to. We have a secret ballot in this country. But if you want to let the rest of us in on the secret, please go ahead.

The Final Predictions III: The Delaware House

16 Comments
Onto the House. The Dems currently have a 26-15 member advantage over the Republicans. In the House, you need 21 seats for a majority. To win back control of the chamber, the GOP would need to win 6 seats while defending all of theirs. As you can see above, 15 Democrats are either unopposed or face nominal third party opposition, and thus are all virtual locks for reelection. So the Democrats are already 6 seats away from maintaining control of the chamber without even breaking a sweat. 5 Republicans are similarly unopposed or nominally opposed by third parties, so the current standing is 15 Democrats, 5 Republicans. Then we move to our contested column, and again these are races where both main parties have fielded candidates, but the incumbent or the incumbent party is heavily favored to win, whether the factors be the quality of the challengers or the incumbents and the demographics of the district.

The Final Predictions I: The Delaware Statewides

59 Comments
Over the course of the next three days, I will be doing several Final Prediction posts. First up, we will have the statewide races for Governor, Lt. Governor, U.S. Senator and U.S. Representative and Insurance Commissioner, with the New County County Executive and Council President races thrown in for good measure. Tomorrow I will cover the General Assembly, both the Delaware Senate and Delaware House. Monday, we will make our final predictions in the U.S. Senate races, and then finally on Tuesday morning, we will have our final polling report, with the final prediction as to who will win the Presidency. I will also, where applicable, let you know who I am voting for. The only real question in the Statewide races is a question of margin. All the Democrats above will win, even though I will not be voting for all them.