The Polling Report [10.3.12] — Dominique is no longer laughing Edition

Our resident racist Sarah Palin fan laughed at the notion that President Obama could be winning 350 electoral votes yesterday. Well, new polling released yesterday puts the President within 3 votes of that benchmark, and there is more bad news for her and her illiterate bigoted ilk: Romney is losing support in red states. New Polls out of Missouri and Louisiana show tightening races in those states. Here is our new map today:

The Polling Report [10.2.12]

Andrew Sullivan:
Romney, by the way, has had a bounce back on Intrade, up from around 21 percent chance to 26 percent. Nate Silver's now-cast has Romney with a 2.2 percent chance; and his forecast for November gives him a 14 percent chance. I didn't expect it to break this way - but it has, because of the arguments of both sides. Campaigns matter. The candidate matters. And the moment matters. It's an alchemy democracy; and it still holds the potential for surprise.
I did expect it to break this way. As did Booman, who is now seeing the beginnings of a blowout. Here is our map:

Breaking: No IDs Required to Vote in Pennsylvania

This just in, and it is good news for the good guys -- the lower courts judge who was required to review an earlier decision has made his ruling, mostly leaving the law in place, but noting that if you show up to vote and have no ID, you are allowed to vote. There's more to come, I'm sure, but this seems to be the nut of it:

Predict the Post Debate Media Narrative!

As Robert Wright notes in his Atlantic article, The Coming Romney Comeback Narrative, the media doesn't much like a static political narrative. It is the unfortunate byproduct of the horse race reporting they are fond of and the need to capture eyeballs. Wright posits multiple paths that the media narrative may go after tomorrow's debate (although it is worth it to read his entire article), but jump in the comments to make your own prediction of the new drama the media will be working on after tomorrow's Presidential Debate.

It Begins…

Former Georgetown Mayor Brian Pettyjohn, a Republican, has filed as a write-in candidate for the 19th Senate seat. Far Right radical religious conservative teabagger Eric Bodenweiser won the Republican primary against the incumbent Republican Senator Joe Booth. The Democratic nominee is Jane Hovington. Today was the deadline for write in candidacies to be filed.

Romney Relying On… Zingers?

First, I have trouble envisioning Mitt Romney delivering a zinger.  Zingers work when they flow naturally.  Zingers work when your opponent plays the straight man/woman and gives you the opening. …

The Polling Report

We have some new state polls out of Iowa, Ohio, Arizona and North Carolina, as well as some interesting national polls. But the race basically remains as it has for weeks since the conventions: Obama is winning.