Open Thread
Wednesday Open Thread [2.15.12]
“If Romney were to lose Michigan, it is very difficult to see how he can accumulate a majority of delegates … And if Santorum does well in [poorer Michigan] districts, he could transfer that support to the other rust belt states that look a lot like them. The most important of these rust belt states is Ohio, which votes on 7 March. Michigan has somewhat fewer born-again Christians and evangelicals than Ohio (46%) did in the 2008 Republican primary. It had a nearly equal percentage of those making greater than $200,000 to Ohio’s (5%). If Rick Santorum can win in both Michigan and Ohio, I can begin to see how he could conceivably put together enough delegates to reach a majority. He seems to be polling well enough in the south (leading in Tennessee, for example) to win the nomination – even if he loses in states like New York, New Jersey and California (though a recent poll there put him in a close second).”
Tuesday Open Thread [2.14.12]
![Tuesday Open Thread [2.14.12]](http://farm8.staticflickr.com/7183/6876078853_b07d5f4ea0_z.jpg "Tuesday Open Thread [2.14.12]")
Polling-polooza today. Newt Gingrich has promised to stay in the race for the duration, and he is even predicting that he will experience a third surge. Hey, its possible.
Monday Open Thread [2.13.12]
Mitt Romney under-whelmingly won the Maine Caucuses on Saturday, but that news was overshadowed by Whitney Houston’s death. Although now it seems that Ron Paul could pull a Rick Santorum and win Maine after all. Here are the polls that came out during the weekend. Santorum has stormed into the lead in one recent national poll.
Saturday Open Thread [2.11.12]
I’d almost forgotten it was winter, with daffodils coming up and willow trees budding already. Unfortunately for most of my friends, I am a fan of winter and look forward to a few snow days each season, so am hoping there will be a proper snostorm before it is all said and done. But here we are, cruising the internets and catching up on the stuff that happened during the week:
Friday Open Thread [2.10.12]
Gingrich’s sugar daddy, casino mogul Sheldon Adelson, says he is done contributing to the Super PAC backing Newt Gingrich’s presidential campaign. So that is the end of Gingrich.
Thursday Open Thread [2.9.12]
Earlier this morning I said Rush Limbaugh was right. It pained me to type those words, but in that instance, in describing his own party, his own base, he should be right since they follow his command. Rush being right in that context is far different than being right morally, legally and ethically. Like Bill O’Reilly is in the following instance. Click through for that and more polling goodness.
Wednesday Open Thread [2.8.12]
The next Republican primary contest is in Arizona on February 28th. And there is no new polling on that. So here is some Virginia polling, showing President Obama doing very well there. Meanwhile, Nate Silver thinks this primary race will now be prolonged, and Chuck Todd says we know that the economy is improving because the Republicans are reverting back to their culture war playbook.
Monday Open Thread [2.6.12]
![Monday Open Thread [2.6.12]](http://images1.dailykos.com/i/user/426/wapoabc_2_6_12.png "Monday Open Thread [2.6.12]")
“The biggest victim of [Friday’s] blowout jobs report — aside from the millions of Americans who still lack jobs, of course — is Mitt Romney’s presidential campaign. Romney has rested his entire case for election on the sluggish economy… [I]t’s all Romney has. Obama remains personally well-liked. Romney is personally unpopular. The Republican Party is extremely unpopular. Obama has had no major scandals, and his foreign policy has been highly successful to date… He simply has to keep plugging away at his theme, because his only real winning scenario involves winning on the back of a bad economy.”
Sunday Open Thread [2.5.12]
It is Super Bowl Sunday and many of you are tending to the food and drinks (and fine tuning the color calibrations on your TVs) that you’ll serve at your parties this evening. In case you’ve a few lazy minutes today to catch up on some reading, the theme of this Open Thread is The Media.
Friday Open Thread [2.3.12]
![Friday Open Thread [2.3.12]](http://farm8.staticflickr.com/7147/6811558719_2118176ccf_o.jpg "Friday Open Thread [2.3.12]")
The primary polling is all Romney all the time, except in Michigan, a “home” state of his but also a home to the American auto industry, which Romney wanted to pull the plug on. The general election polling is all Obama all the time.
Thursday Open Thread (2.2.12)
This one’s for you, Jason! Other than that… I got nothing. I’m blogged out today!
Polling Goodness
Obama leads Romney by a pretty substantial margin in Ohio, 49% to 42%, according to a new Public Policy Poll out today. What is most impressive about this poll is not Obama’s lead, but it is the fact that only 28% of Ohioans have a favorable opinion of Mitt Romney, and 56% have a negative, unfavorable opinion of him. That is unelectable. Those are toxic numbers. Or at least, when Sarah Palin and Newt Gingrich had those numbers, we called them toxic.
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