The Polling Report [2.3.13]

NATIONAL--PRESIDENTIAL APPROVAL--ABC News-Washington Post: President Obama "has advanced to his highest personal popularity since his first year in office, and Americans who've formed an opinion of his second inaugural address last week broadly approve of it." TEXAS--PRESIDENT--Public Policy Polling: Hillary Clinton 46, Marco Rubio 45; Clinton 45, Chris Christie 43; Clinton 50, Rick Perry 42
[Clinton] has a +7 favorability rating (50/43) with Texas voters and strong support among moderate voters—72% view her favorably, and she crushes her potential GOP opponents among this voting group. “If Clinton is the 2016 nominee, she could conceivably expand the electoral map for Democrats in deep-red Texas,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling.

Picking the Super Bowl winner using my never fail “which Mascot would win in a fight method”

I'm 100% picking Super Bowl winners over the past five years. Here is a recap:
XLIII February 1, 2009 Steelers v Cardinals Or, a steelworker vs non-raptor birds. No contest. Cardinals fans should be prepared to never win a Super Bowl unless realignment has them facing off against the Browns one day. XLIV February 7, 2010 Saints v Colts People think Saints are good natured, but a great many were genuine bad asses. Think St Sebastian, who is the patron saint of tailors because the Romans had to load up his body with 50 arrows to get him to die. (Thereby giving him the appearance of a pin cushion... get it? Okay, I don't assign patron saints to things. ) Also, a Colt is a baby horse. So, a baby anything v a full grown anything is a prohibitive underdog. XLV February 6, 2011, Packers v Steelers This was a tough one but Packers are used to sawing live cows in half with bandsaws, and casually emptying blood out of their boots while grabbing a smoke at break-time. Living with that kind of gore day in and day out affects the mind. XLVI February 5, 2012 Giants v Patriots The Tea Party has doomed the Patriots. They will not see another Lombardi trophy until the ashes from the tea party are scattered and people go back to thinking of patriots as patriotic heros - not as unhinged weirdos. Plus Giants are giant and virtually unbeatable vs normal sized humans.
Which brings us to this year.

Yes – online polls are not polls

I don't know if the Markell supporter from last week was trying to make a point about online polls, or KWS is still nursing hurt feelings from being smacked down in the Insurance Commissioner primary a few cycles back... but someone made a mockery out of the Denn poll that was up. Congratulations (I guess) to the anonymous internet genius out there who pulled it off.

What Happens When Americans Find Out That Social Security is Not In Trouble

Today's WONKBLOG has a great bit of reporting on a new survey from a group called the National Academy of Social Insurance, which conducted a survey of Americans and found that most Americans want to fix the long-term shortfall by raising the cap on contributions and they want to increase the benefits. Shockingly, Americans come to this conclusion once they learn (via this survey) that Social Security is not in immediate crisis. Which it isn't.

Clinton calling out Republicans for not living in “an evidence-based world”

Apparently riffing on my blog post about Republican economics being entirely faith-based, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said her Benghazi critics have a loose grasp on reality.
"There are some people in politics and in the press who can't be confused by the facts," Clinton told the Associated Press in her final one-on-one interview before she steps down from her post at the State Department on Friday. "They just will not live in an evidence-based world. And that's regrettable. It's regrettable for our political system and for the people who serve our government in very dangerous, difficult circumstances."
I hope this is going to be the Democrats overall theme for 2013 and beyond. It answers the GOP's use of "elitism," rallies the Democratic big tent to the unifying cause of rationality and is 100% accurate.

I’ve got 50 bucks that says Republicans are full of shit… any takers?

Today "economist" Art Laffer was all over the wingnutverse calling the contraction in the U.S. economy "catastrophic" and predicted that it would continue to shrink without "spending restraints and lower business tax rates." Are you fucking kidding me? People are still listening to this nut? Well, if you are listening, and buying any of Laffer's bullshit, I've got $50.00 bucks if you can prove that his "shrink the government and give tax breaks to businesses" nonsense has ever resulted in economic growth.