The Polling Report [9.13.12]

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We have a lot of polls, but nothing in a state changing from Romney to Obama or vice versa. Instead, we have a map that is getting darker in some expected sports and lighter in some unexpected spots. Meanwhile, we have a Fox News poll that is most likely being ignored on their own air. Here is the map.

You Ain’t the Cat’s Pajamas

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If I learned anything over this primary election, when it comes to politics, know one knows nothing. The more one pretends to know, it becomes apparent that they know very little. When politicians, political Insiders or bloggers start thinking their shit don't smell, it's best they remember the line from Shakespeare's As You Like It:
The fool doth think he is wise, but the wise man knows himself to be a fool.

I think everyone should read Kavips today.

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His piece on the future of New Castle County, with a little recent political history thrown in, is a tour de force and it has performed a miracle: it actually made me feel a little bit better about Tom Gordon. Not enough to vote for him, mind you, but enough to be not apocalytic about what is coming...

The 62 District Strategy: The General Election Preview

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Let's see how each party fared in their efforts to find candidates for every race. Hint: one party failed miserably, and in so doing, severely damaged whatever small chance it had to win control of either chamber of the General Assembly. So come inside for the large chart and my predictions on how the races for the General Assembly will play out.

Wednesday Open Thread [9.12.12]: The Mitt Romney Lehman Moment Edition

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"This was news-cycle campaigning by the Romney campaign gone awry. Why didn't the Romney campaign wait until it had all the facts? On his overseas trip in the summer, Romney was so careful not to criticize Obama while on foreign soil. But how much time do you give an administration to work through a diplomatic and international crisis before trying to score immediate political points? You'd expect the Sarah Palins of the world to quickly pounce on something like this, and she predictably did. But a presidential nominee running for the highest office in the land?" "After the facts have come out, last night's Romney statement only feeds the narrative that his campaign is desperate. And given that the Romney camp has already moved on to other subjects this morning -- issuing a press release on debt and not the embassy attacks -- it appears the campaign realizes it, too. Right before our publication time, the Romney camp responds to us that it stands by its statement from last night."

‘Bulo On Al’s Show Today at 10

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All primary results, all the time, with trenchant and perhaps morbid analysis. Including a post-mortem into why I think Mitch Crane lost (it's probably not what you think), dissection of all the key races, including the ouster of two incumbent state senators, and some rasslin' talk, featuring an update on Jerry 'The King' Lawler. 10 am to 12 noon, WDEL-1150 on your am dial. Click here to listen on your computer

The Basic Laws of Human Stupidity

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1. Always and inevitably everyone underestimates the number of stupid individuals in circulation. 2. The probability that a certain person (will) be stupid is independent of any other characteristic of that person. 3. A stupid person is a person who causes losses to another person or to a group of persons while himself deriving no gain and even possibly incurring losses. 4. Non-stupid people always underestimate the damaging power of stupid individuals. In particular non-stupid people constantly forget that at all times and places and under any circumstances to deal and/or associate with stupid people always turns out to be a costly mistake. 5. A stupid person is the most dangerous type of person.

A Little Hot in Here

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Thank goodness for August. If the dog days didn't cool down, we probably would have had the hottest summer on record.  As it was, Delaware experienced our third warmest summer…