Hurricane Earl – Batten Down The Hatches… Or Not?
Looks like I left the beach just in time…
As of 11 a.m., Hurricane Earl was positioned 725 miles south southeast of Cape Hatteras and is moving northwest at 17 mph. Most computer models continue to indicate Earl will remain offshore though a couple have the center briefly passing over the North Carolina outer banks, where hurricane watches remain in effect. These watches have been extended to cover the VA/MD/DE beaches. Earl’s maximum sustained winds are 125 mph, down from 135 mph this yesterday — making it a Category 3 storm.
For the VA/MD/DE beaches, impacts will likely be less pronounced but not insignificant. Some showers and wind gusts to tropical-storm force are possible late Thursday night into Friday, with strong wave action, dangerous rip currents, and the possibility of minor coastal flooding. Though a hurricane watch has been issued for the VA/MD/DE beaches, hurricane force winds are not especially likely there unless the storm shifts west.
Darksyde at Kos adds an Update: I’ve just been told some noon models show a slight shift toward the west. Which is not the way we want it go.
Okay, time to turn on the weather channel and figure out which way this hurricane is heading.
Tags: weather
So far my weather forecast is not showing any rain for nothern Delaware.
I am planning a trip to Assateague over the weekend, so hopefully by Friday afternoon all will be quiet, if still heavy surf.
Geek…if your plan is indeed to be there and travelling there Fri AM into the PM, then you most definitely need to be watching the progression of these forecasts as the models update. The trend has pretty much been slightly more west than the previous update. Already there has been official “requests” to not travel to or around OC, MD on Friday, so I’d think that’s close enough for you.
Here’s a recent post from that weather site I frequently give a pro-bias to. Give it a read to get all weather geeky, but also to see why these trends are certainly worth noting.
Good luck, even if you don’t talk to me at the Peach Festival. 🙂
Geek – the 2PM updates are keeping up the trend.
I saw one met call for 7A – 7P to be the worst for DE, NJ, and MD, but calling inland vs beach to be two different worlds, with the beach areas of course getting the brunt. Beach areas will have some squalls and windy. He said the current projection (subject to change, of course) is for the winds to be 20-40 w’ 60 MPH gusts.
Given the trend of moving this Hurricane farther west (and close to shore with every model update, and with no evidence that it is making the northeast turn it is supposed to, I predict this Hurricane will plow straight up the Delmarva peninsula, making landfall on the Southern Virginian shore and then remaining at Hurricane strength straight through to Wilmington.
Well… aren’t you a little ray of sunshine! 😉
LOL Pandora. Doomed, I tell ya. Doomed!
Sheesh…westward-ho is the theme with this freaking thing. 5PM update, more west. Geek, ya’ may want to start thinking contingency. Just think it, not enact it just yet.
I am telling you guys, it is Apocalypse Now. This Hurricane will decimate the Delmarva Peninsula.
how long before the wing-bats say it’s because god hates gays and we have rehoboth?
This storm from God is to punish Delaware for their embrace of the homosexual agenda. We must follow Glenn Beck back to God.
O’Donnell 2010
Palin/Hannity 2012
“This storm from God is to punish Delaware for their embrace of the homosexual agenda.”
If true (it’s total bullshit), that really blows (double pun intended).
The latest forecast shows that we will have some wind gusts and some rain late tomorrow night and early Friday morning, but that’s it – no Armageddon, no evacuation, sort of what we got with Isabel, which wasn’t that bad.
Every stinkin’ weather forecast always forgets us in the MOT area, who have a canal to mess with any prediction. It’s just another coin toss around here. I want that job–50-50 it hits in any fashion.