We R Who We R
The talk in the liberal media of the past few days regarding Census Data has been that the future reapportionment is leaning Republican see here and here and here and here and well, you get the point. But as dirty girl rightly pointed out yesterday, the Hispanic gains will wipe out any supposed gains the Republican have made. I’ll let the conservative National Journal explain:
Instead, the reapportionment process foretells a changing dynamic of American politics, one in which minority voters will play an increasingly important and influential role. The eight states that will gain House seats this year appear to give Republicans an advantage, but, in truth, the redistricting playing field is far more level.
Eight states–Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Nevada, South Carolina, Texas, Utah, and Washington state–will gain representation when the 113th Congress convenes in 2013, figures released on Tuesday by the Census Bureau showed. On its face, those states appear to give Republicans an advantage; they hold complete control of redistricting in all but Arizona and Washington, where bipartisan commissions will draw the new lines.
The outsized growth of those eight states, however, has come largely from dramatic increases in minority populations, particularly among Hispanic voters. Although exact data on race collected by the 2010 census won’t be available for a few months, trends and the American Community Survey, conducted by the Census Bureau, demonstrate that those predisposed toward voting for Democrats have constituted the bulk of the new population boosts.
Some interesting Delaware news in the census numbers: We grew 14% since 2000 and we are number 8 in population density.
Tags: 2012 Election, Census
ok, maybe it never posted…
I love Ke$ha.
weird filter thing going on here
In Texas, DeLay already decimated the Congressional Dems, so look for a few more minority-majority districts being created.
Good one Nemski – The R’s rarely look for the man behind the curtain
for years the Hispnic vote has been growing and the clout will come home to roost.
Hispanic voters, like all voters, do not necessarily vote in blocks, EG, most Latino voters in FLa are Republicans due to the large Cuban faction there, the rest being Dems. But generational issues play into the factors as well – older Hispanic voters may vote R, but their children & grandchildren are voting D
but blood being thicker than water….they see what the R’s have been doing to the Hispanic population at large and that impact has shaken even the Cuban community.
Actions have consequesces, and the marginalizing and criminalizing of the Latino communities/fmillies of mixed immigration status (some voting citizens, with family members here undocumented, living under the same roof)will come back and bite the nativists and obstructionist Rebublicans where the sun don’t shine.
Meg Whitman and John McCain both have learned that lesson recently – and the organizations of MALDEF, PRLDEF, La Raza, and LULAC (League of United Latin American Citizens) have all taken positions in the AZ SB1070 debate, the 14th ammendment debate (I believe the rise in Latino voters is responsible for this – they are afraid of the growing power of the Hispanic vote)and Comprehensive Immigration Reform – be prepared to see these battles come up over the next 2 years
and the R’s better pay attention – how they vote and have voted will partially determine where they are in 2012
“Hispanic voters, like all voters, do not necessarily vote in blocks”
uhm…Blacks vote in a huge block. dont make me look up the statistics…
ummmm, phil – ,why don’t you ask David Anderson how he votes, Im sure he won;t fit into your little paradigm at all
also Mr. West from Fla reently elected won’t either.so please re-read the sentance as it was written and stop sterotyping.
unless you feel qualified to tel me how Hispnics vote?? go ahead take your best shot…..
by your lcgic you are suggesting that whites vote in blocks too, if so, then explain the existance of Black Democrtic president?
If we are #8 in population density how come we don’t have decent mass transit?
are you really saying that because david anderson votes republican that it isnt reasonable to say that blacks votes democratic as a block? you really believe that one random black guy in kent county delaware disproves the entire premise? lets face reality, blacks vote democrat in numbers upward of 90%, if that isnt voting as a block then there is no such thing as a reliable voting block. theres nothing wrong with it, the party caters to what they are looking for and has done a great job of winning and retaining their vote, so lets not pretend that they might all of a sudden vote 60% republican in 2012. the democratic party would have to REALLY screw up for a period of many years before it ever had to worry about losing the black vote.
The media has been pushing the “resurgent Republicans” narrative and is engaged in simplistic reading of the new population data to further push it. You are correct, much of the growth has been driven by an increase in the Hispanic population in those states. Yes, one cannot with certainty predict how Hispanics will vote in the future and “Hispanic” is a broad term for a disparate collection of ethnic groups. Still, the fact that has to strike terror in the heart of Republicans is every racial minority group in America votes Democratic (as do women, sexual orientation minorities, religious minorities–Jews, Muslims, Buddhists, Hindus. Notice a trend?). It is very reasonable to expect 60-70% Democratic voting out of Hispanics–just as we can expect similar results out of Asians. The Republicans built their Age of Reagan majority on the backs of racists and are now paying the price. Eventually the GOP will adapt and renounce racism but it is not that easy. When that happens they will also lose a slice of their base as many “Dixiecrats” default to economic issues in the absence of a meaningful racial difference between the parties and return to the party their parents abandoned in the 60’s.
Reagan in 84′ won 47% of the Hispanic vote. That is the high water mark for Republicans nationally and that was when the Hispanic population was proportionately more Cuban than it is now. Mexican-Americans vote approximately 2-to-1 for the Democrats.
With respect to Asians, this group was heavily Republican until 1992. Even in 1996 Dole carried Asians 48-43%. What happened? The Republicans adopted nativism in an update of the Nixon/Reagan “Southern Strategy” in the 90’s and that turned off Asians and Hispanics in spades, given what is implicit in a lot of GOP anti-immigration rhetoric.
The days of the Republican Party as we have known it since 1980 are numbered. For the GOP the 2010 Census is another warning of the impending disintegration of the Reagan coalition, not a cause for celebration.
“The days of the Republican Party as we have known it since 1980 are numbered. For the GOP the 2010 Census is another warning of the impending disintegration of the Reagan coalition, not a cause for celebration.”
ABSOLUTELY SPOT ON! and the Rs hve not figured it out yet either. The dmage has been done and the history of Prop 187 that turned California from Red to Blue should have taught them that. Most Hispanics will vote D – with the exception of the Cuban Community and the older generation.
But the fear is that the nativist, “patriotic” rhetoric will lead to violence…
remember Timothy McVeigh – he thought he was a patriot and David Koresh was Christian….its starting to look like a duck
especially in Sussex….
Yeah, right — two guys 15+ years ago constitutes definitive evidence of the nature of a thoroughly unrelated political movement. You aren’t serious, are you?