The Polling Report [6.7.12]

Filed in National by on June 7, 2012

The Polling Report is back after the disappointment in Wisconsin. Interestingly, the exit poll from Wisconsin showed Obama winning Wisconsin 54% to 42%. That is Strong Obama territory, and I have updated the map accordingly. Today, we have new polls out of Florida, Pennsylvania and Connecticut, showing Pennsylvania becomes a non-swing state, Connecticut staying one, and Florida wanting to become one.

NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (Gallup Tracking): Obama 46, Romney 45
NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (Pew): Obama 49, Romney 42
NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (PPP): Obama 50, Romney 42
NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (Rasmussen Tracking): Obama 46, Romney 46
NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (YouGov Obama 47, Romney 42

So either the race is still close, or the President has opened up a pretty solid 7-8 point lead.

CONNECTICUT–PRESIDENT (Quinnipiac): Obama 50, Romney 38
FLORIDA–PRESIDENT (PPP): Obama 50, Romney 46

Florida just on the outside of being a Lean Obama state, but it stays a toss up state for now. But I like seeing the 50% there for Obama.

PENNSYLVANIA–PRESIDENT (Franklin and Marshall): Obama 48, Romney 36

Pennsylvania becomes a strong Obama state, which confirms recent reports that Romney has given up on it.

So let’s update our map:

Obama: 269
Romney: 170
Tossup: 99

CONNECTICUT–SENATOR (Quinnipiac): Chris Murphy (D) 46, Linda McMahon (R) 43; McMahon 46, Susan Bysiewicz (D) 42; Murphy 45, Chris Shays (R) 37; Shays 44, Bysiewicz 40
CONNECTICUT–SENATOR–DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY (Quinnipiac): Chris Murphy 50, Susan Bysiewicz 20
CONNECTICUT–SENATOR–REPUBLICAN PRIMARY (Quinnipiac): Linda McMahon 59, Chris Shays 30
PENNSYLVANIA–SENATOR (Franklin and Marshall): Sen. Bob Casey (D) 42, Tom Smith (R) 21
VIRGINIA–SENATOR (Quinnipiac): Tim Kaine (D) 44, George Allen (R) 43
VIRGINIA–SENATOR (Rasmussen): Tim Kaine (D) 46, George Allen (R) 44

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  1. Rusty Dils says:
    June 7, 2012 at 5:20 pm

    You Missed one. For accuracy purposes you should update your map to Michigan as a Toss Up

    President Obama narrowly trails Mitt Romney in Michigan according to a new poll, a troubling sign in a state thought to favor the president in November.

    The poll, conducted by EPIC-MRA, shows Romney leading Obama 46 to 45 percent. That’s a significant swing for Romney, who trailed 47-43 percent in April, in the state where he grew up and his father served as a popular governor.

    The telephone survey of 600 likely voters was conducted June 2-5.

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