Another Opinion on Barney-Simpler

Another Opinion on Barney-Simpler

18 Comments
I received another possible theory on how the Treasurer's race is developing from a source who wants to remain anonymous. I think it is interesting and plausible enough to post and get everyone else's opinion on it.
Simpler could totally win this, in part because of Dem overconfidence and lack of financial engagement. He's spent his independent money very smartly. He let the rich R's attack Sher from the right so he could immediately claim the moderate ground. Dems had been so focused on the the primary on their side, that they never forced Ken to stake out positions on divisive issues during the primary. So he can say whatever he wants now. The belief that Dems can't lose statewide mean nobody's pinning him down now, either. And he's got his own money and the relationship with WBOC to get up on TV, which really moves #s. The counterbalancing financial forces on the D side like AFSCME and Labor don't seem to take the Simpler threat seriously. People will regret it.

Wednesday Open Thread [10.22.14]

A Federal District Judge upheld Puerto Rico's marriage equality ban, saying that the U.S. Supreme Court's 1971 decision in Baker v. Nelson, which banned same sex marriage, or more accurately says such bans do not violate the Constitution, has not been explicitly overturned. That argument has never worked before in the Circuit Courts or before the Supreme Court itself in the DOMA or Prop 8 Cases, but now, if the corresponding Circuit Court upholds this decision (which is unlikely but possible), then we will finally have a ruling from the Supreme Court. Ian Millhiser expects the Puerto Rico decision will be reversed:
[W]hile Pérez-Giménez clearly holds very passionate views on the question of whether same-sex couples are entitled to the same rights as everyone else, his views are unlikely to persuade many of his fellow judges. It’s even possible that his opinion could ultimately wind up bolstering the case for marriage equality. That’s because his decision will appeal to the United States Court of Appeals for the First Circuit, a court dominated by Democratic appointees (although, it is worth noting that Pérez-Giménez was appointed to the bench by President Jimmy Carter). All four of the states that comprise the First Circuit — Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire and Rhode Island — are already marriage equality states, so a decision out of a federal court in Puerto Rico is the only path to bring a marriage equality case before this circuit. Given the makeup of the First Circuit, the overwhelming consensus among federal judges in favor of marriage equality, and the belligerent tone of Pérez-Giménez’s opinion, it is unlikely that his decision will be upheld on appeal.

I am confused by Jason’s Poll….

32 Comments
I am voting for Barney, because I will never vote for any living or dead Republican to handle the state's finances. Indeed, if you want to prove to me you are fiscally responsible, you cannot be a Republican. But I digress. I guess his question is measuring my enthusiasm in voting for Barney, where 10 is voting for Obama in 2008 and 1 is voting for Carper/Carney at any time. I am at a 5. Anyway, here is something humorous that Trey Paradee posted on Facebook....