Delaware Dem's Latest Posts
The Polling Report [10.25.12]
![The Polling Report [10.25.12]](http://farm9.staticflickr.com/8327/8120891893_b5f3ba2c01_z.jpg "The Polling Report [10.25.12]")
Mark Halperin: “Chicago remains sufficiently funded and emboldened by its own polling to compete for the final two weeks in all nine of the battlegrounds: Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia in the South; New Hampshire in the North; Iowa, Ohio, and Wisconsin in the Midwest; and Nevada and Colorado in the West. As they have in the past, Obama campaign officials say they expect to win a high percentage of those states and conceivably could sweep all nine.”
“When pressed, the Obama officials with whom I met said that five of the nine stand out: Nevada, Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, and New Hampshire. In that quintet, Democrats believe the combination of their current leads in polling, early voting (where applicable), and ground game makes their chances of winning even greater there than in the other four. And given the Electoral College math, unless Romney picks off one or more of those five states, Obama would win a minimum of 281 electoral votes and re-election.”
As Greg Sargent notes, the polling averages show Obama leading in each of those states as well.
The polls today also show Obama leading where it counts:
![Thursday Daily Delawhere [10.25.12]](http://farm9.staticflickr.com/8187/8120816179_5a8206d4b3_z.jpg "Thursday Daily Delawhere [10.25.12]")
Wednesday Open Thread [10.24.12]
![Wednesday Open Thread [10.24.12]](http://img.gawkerassets.com/img/18320lzn0hjmwgif/original.gif "Wednesday Open Thread [10.24.12]")
“The truth is both sides are worried — Team Obama is nowhere near as confident about its map as public statements suggest, and the Romney surge isn’t as real (or relevant, given battleground-state polling) as Republicans are spinning. Yet it’s that map that governs still — national polls aside, the Romney surge hasn’t spilled into the battlegrounds (particularly Ohio) enough to upend the race in Romney’s favor, at least not yet.”
Christine O’Donnell Defends Eric Bodenweiser, calls Indictment “Tacky.”
WGMD has the audio of Christine O’Donnell’s reaction to the Eric Bodenweiser indictmenet. Christine O’Donnell, mind you, is the presumptive GOP nominee to run against Sen. Chris Coons in 2014. Here is the transcript:
CHRISTINE O’DONNELL: That’s why these sort of, charges are so, are so, potent as political weapons because they put a seed of doubt in someone’s mind. If you do it as an October surprise there’s not enough time between when they throw the bomb on election day for the truth to really emerge and, um, it’s just, it’s tacky and it’s what happened to our political system.
This is the same woman whose campaign spread rumors about Mike Castle being gay. Seriously, Christine, shut the fuck up. You are the ultimate practitioner of what you call “tacky” politics. You and your tea party has been using lies, rumors, racism and innuedo since your arrival on the political scene.
Further, this is not tacky. It is tragic. A Horror. And if these charges are true, Eric Bodenweiser is a monster that needs to be put away forever. Yes, forever. Until he dies in prison. Seriously, it is that freaking serious.
Twice Divorced Trump to make a big deal about an almost divorce?
So weird-hair cut Birther King and small businessman Donald Trump, who has had numerous adulterous affairs throughout his life and has been thrice married and twice divorced, has a big announcement scheduled for this afternoon, and in his typical lampoonish style, Trump has described what he will announce as “bordering on gigantic,” a story so big that it would “possibly” change the state of the election.
And what is this annoucement? Well, according to the British tabloid, the Daily Mail, the announcement will concern the discovery by Trump of long lost divorce papers that Michelle Obama had drawn up back in 2000 after Barack lost a U.S. House race to Bobby Rush in 2000.
Monster Downballot Polling Report, with some Presidential numbers too [10.24.12]
![Monster Downballot Polling Report, with some Presidential numbers too [10.24.12]](http://farm9.staticflickr.com/8194/8118844782_2e21da139f_z.jpg "Monster Downballot Polling Report, with some Presidential numbers too [10.24.12]")
The latest Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll finds President Obama moving slightly ahead of Mitt Romney, as you will see below. However, Obama “maintains a larger advantage in the state-by-state battle that will determine the outcome of the election. Ipsos projects that Obama holds an edge in the most hotly contested states, including Florida, Virginia and Ohio, and is likely to win by a relatively comfortable margin of 322 electoral votes to 206 electoral votes.” I wish more tracking polls released this kind of information so we can see where these leads for Romney in the other ones are coming from. We saw last week that Romney’s entire lead comes from the South, where he leads Obama by 22%, while Obama lead in every other region with 52 or 53%.
We have new state polls in New Hampshire, Florida, Virginia and Nevada, where it is a close race all around.
![Wednesday Daily Delawhere [10.24.12]](http://farm9.staticflickr.com/8465/8118810371_683c4e454d_z.jpg "Wednesday Daily Delawhere [10.24.12]")
Tuesday Open Thread [10.23.12]
![Tuesday Open Thread [10.23.12]](http://farm9.staticflickr.com/8472/8116250024_fdb308f79c_z.jpg "Tuesday Open Thread [10.23.12]")
It is good to see that Mitt Romney is representative of the average GOP voter regarding knowledge of world geography. Mittens said last night that Syria is Iran’s route to the sea. Interestingly though, on this planet we call Earth, Syria and Iran do not share a border. Iraq stands in the way. Further, and more importantly, Iran already has several of its own routes to the sea. It has a very long southern coastline that gives the country access to the Persian Gulf, the Gulf of Oman and the Indian Ocean. It’s northern border includes its coastline on the Caspian Sea, which, while it is an essentially landlocked inland sea, it does have canals and rivers that lead eventually to the Black Sea and then to the Mediterranean Sea.
So how could Mittens make such a collassal mistake? Does he not know world geography? I thought he was a smart man? Was this just a slip of the tongue, a one time mistake?
The Polling Report [10.23.12]
![The Polling Report [10.23.12]](http://farm9.staticflickr.com/8335/8116184313_364943c2d2_z.jpg "The Polling Report [10.23.12]")
I am separating the Polling Reports again today just because we have a large number of downballot polls for the Senate and Governor’s races, coupled with our standard load of National, National Tracking and State polls. The national polls are multiplying like rabbits, and today, that have the race ranging from Obama +4, to Obama +3, to Obama +2 to Obama +1 to Tied to Romney +1, Romney +2, Romney +3, and Romney +6. Something for everyone’s reality.
But here is today’s map:
Debate Reaction
“Well, Scott, the uncommitted voters in our survey – immediately after the debate was over – gave a clear victory to President Obama this evening.” A CBS News poll of undecided voters favored Obama, 53% to 23%. Mitt Romney once again came in third, behind Tied, at 24%. A CNN instant poll of registered voters that violently oversampled Republicans found President Obama still won, 48% to 40%. A Public Policy Polling survey of swing state voters also came out in favor of the president, 53% to 42%.
To put in perspective this polling, consider the results of the polls after the first debate, considered to be a blowout even by us liberals in favor of Mitt Romney. Then, the the CBS poll of undecided voters taken immediately after the event showed the Republican winning the debate by 24 points. Last night it is Obama won by 30. Now let’s see our “liberal” lamestream mainstream whateverstream media fellate him now as they did Mitt Romney after the First Debate.
Come inside for more reaction.
Tuesday Daily Delawhere [10.23.12]
![Tuesday Daily Delawhere [10.23.12]](http://farm9.staticflickr.com/8465/8115894437_d4f1d3a3f3_z.jpg "Tuesday Daily Delawhere [10.23.12]")
Sorry this is late. One of the things I hate about debate nights is that I am too keyed up to go to sleep at my normal bedtime of 11, right after the end of the debate. I have to stay up and listen to the post debate coverage, and then as I force myself upstairs to bed I am still checking Twitter for another hour. Ugh.
Well, at least that is over with for another four years. Join us next time in 2016 when we will hear from the Democratic nominee, Hillary Rodham Clinton, and the Republican nominee, Rick Santorum.
The Final Presidential Debate Live Blog and Watch Party
First, several of us will be at the Chelsea Tavern this evening starting at 8 pm for a Debate Watch Party. We hope you can drop by. If you are stuck at home you can join us for the Live Blog of the debate. To join the live blog, click on the word “Liveblog” in the horizontal menu at the top right of the page near the dateline. For the instructionally challenged, here is a picture of what you are supposed to click on. Once you get to the Liveblog login page, type in a user name and leave the password line blank, and click Login. And there you go.
Bodenweiser Indicted on 113 Felony counts.
According to the Cape Gazette just now:
Following a grand jury investigation, former state Senate candidate Eric Bodenweiser was indicted Oct. 22 on 113 felony counts. He faces 39 charges of first-degree unlawful sexual intercourse and 74 charges of unlawful sexual contact in the second degree.
The Attorney General’s Office has sealed the indictment; details of the charges are not available.
Damn. For those who don’t know, Eric Bodeweiser was the Republican candidate for Senator in the 19th Senate Distict in Sussex County, Delaware. He officially withdrew his candidacy last week amid rumors of these charges. Bodenweiser was, and probably still is, a star of the downstate Tea Party movement. Indeed, the last time he was seen in public was during a fundraiser with the Queen Bee herself, Christine O’Donnell.
First Degree Unlawful Sexual Intercourse is another term for First Degree Rape, I believe. I cannot find a separate crime for it under the Delaware Code. Second Degree Unlawful Sexual Contact occurs when the person intentionally has sexual contact with another person who is less than 18 years of age or causes the victim to have sexual contact with the person or a third person. This is a class F felony.
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