The Polling Report [2.15.13]
Neil Newhouse, the Romney/Ryan lead pollster, warned Republicans to beware of President Obama's use of the bully pulpit this election cycle and to not count on the so-called six-year itch in the 2014 midterm election (the six year itch refers to loses by the President's party in the second midterm of a 8 year presidency).
Said Newhouse: "I kind of emphasized to the members that second midterm elections have never been friendly to the president. You can't count on that. That's not going to happen. We've got to realize that the House Republicans are going to be Obama's top target."I think he is right. The SOTU was designed and the issues therein framed with 2014 in mind. Plus, the Six Year Itch was proven wrong in 1998 when a Democratic President was faced with an extreme obstructionist Congress that resorted to outrageous never before thought of measures. Democrats gained seats in Congress that year. So Newhouse is right to caution his brethen in this extreme obstructionist Congress that has resorted to outrageous never before thought of measures. But, given Newhouse's horrible performance as a pollster for the Romney campaign (he led Romney and the entire Fox News bubble to believe that Romney was headed for a massive landslide), it is quite likely Republicans will ignore him. Which is excellent news for us.