The Polling Report [9.25.12]

The cherry on the top of the sundae that was the 2008 election was Obama winning the 2nd Congressional District in Nebraska. Nebraska is one of two states (the other being Maine) that apportions its electoral votes by congressional district winner and state wide winner. The statewide winner gets 2 electoral votes, and then the winner of each of the three congressional districts in Nebraska get one electoral vote each. The 2nd Congressional District in Nebraska encompasses the Omaha area, one of the more Democratic areas of Nebraska, relatively speaking. After the "embarrassment" of having a Democrat win a Nebraska electoral vote for the first time since 1964, Nebraska Republicans first attempted to pass legislation eliminating proportional representation, but that failed. Then through redistricting, they made the 2nd CD more Republican. But a new poll has been released showing a tie in the 2nd CD between Romney and Obama. Wouldn't be something if Obama wins that Nebraska electoral vote again? Indeed, I consider it a canary in a coal mine: a sign of the coming Obama landslide.

Monday Open Thread [9.24.12]

"Well, it doesn't need a turnaround. I've got a very effective campaign. It's doing a very good job." -- Mitt Romney, in an interview on 60 Minutes. Anymore, Mitt Romney seems to be the very type of arrogant, entitled, delusional Wall Street monster who destroyed our economy in the first place. And to prove that, Mr. Romney awarded his senior campaign staff $200,000 in bonuses after the GOP Convention, according to Politico. Mind you, the Convention is widely viewed as an epic disaster that gave Romney a negative bounce. Sounds just like Wall Street.

The Polling Report [9.24.12]

We have a more truncated report this morning, which is good because the last few days have been full of polling goodness, but still, pollsters, and those polled, need a break. We have three new state polls out today, all good news for the President.

Obama’s 47% Ad

This ad hits every note by linking Romney's 47% statement on taxes to his own, not yet released, taxes. [youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ojpl-JzPDkg&feature=player_embedded[/youtube]

Behind the Numbers in Local Races: Updated

This week I was granted access to some of the polling data gathered by a new local communications firm, Out of the Box. One of the men behind the curtain is Richard Korn, former Democratic candidate for Auditor. Richard sat down with me to answer questions about the polling that Out of the Box did for local races, including Insurance Commissioner, SD11 (Deluca v. Townsend), Mayor of Wilmington and County Executive. Deluca v. Townsend and Wilmington Mayor are first up...

Good News/Bad News Monday

The good news: Obama continues to kick ass. "Obama to win" positions hit new highs in both major trading markets over the weekend. (71% Intrade & 70 IEM). The bad news: Republican billionaires are committed to a strategy of harassment and intimidation of Democratic voters while bankrolling huge GOTV efforts among conservatives. ...