Hillary Survives, But the Math is Still Not in Her Favor

So while you hear the media spin last night and this AM re: Hillary’s win, let’s remember a couple of things here:

1. Primaries are about winning delegates, and the Dems award their delegates in a proportional manner. Hillary may have earned 12 -14 delegates over Obama, but she still cannot catch up to him unless she wins everything, and wins it decisively, from here on out.

2. Six weeks ago, Clinton has a 20 point lead and a victory in Ohio which was supposed to be ominous for Obama. For Obama to close the gap means that he is still convincing undecideds (except for those who choose at the last minute). Hillary keeps her base. Obama gets voters who are new to the process — young voters, new voters, party switchers; while Hillary maintains her base. Net is that Obama is speaking to everyone and is convincing folks open to being convinced.

The Delaware Dem’s Newest Delegate

Rob Carver was elected to be a Barack Obama Delegate on Saturday.  I interviewed Rob on Super Tuesday.  It bears watching it again.  Good work Rob![youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DFe-7vUtL5A[/youtube]