Delaware Dem
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This is just … mind blowingly awesome…
For some unknown reason, some states allow their judges to be elected, rather than appointed. As you know, this can cause problems. Far right radical theocrats can get elected in some circumstances because judicial elections are often overlooked and spark low voter interest. Michigan Supreme Court candidate Bridget Mary McCormack tackles the subject in a four minute campaign ad that is a long awaited reunion of the cast of the West Wing!
Rose Izzo just reelected Tom Carper
Overnight, Rose Izzo, the pretender to Christine O’Donnell’s teabagging throne in 2012 and recent Republican primary loser, endorsed insane bar owner and Independent candidate for the Senate, Alex Pires. When Alex first announced, I was intrigued, and then I listened to him, and he sounded like a tea partier. Others said, no no no, he is a populist, and angry populist, but a populist. Now we can see Pires’s teanuttia confirmed through the eyes and endorsement of Rose Izzo.
Another Day, Another Polling Report [9.20.12]
Polling Firms have been quite busy this week. The big poll yesterday was the Pew Poll showing an 8 point national lead for the President. In the Senate races, multiple polls in three races now show former Governor Tim Kaine, Elizabeth Warren and Rep. Tammy Baldwin breaking out to significant leads in their respective races after being tied or behind forever. It looks like Obama voters in all three races are coming home to the Democratic candidate in each race, showing that the President might have some serious coattails, and if he has that, then the chances are the Dems will pick up the 25 seats they need and more to retake the House of Representatives and hold the Senate.
But first, more on that Pew poll:
Obama holds a bigger September lead than the last three candidates who went on to win in November, including Obama four years ago. In elections since 1988, only Bill Clinton, in 1992 and 1996, entered the fall with a larger advantage.
Not only does Obama enjoy a substantial lead in the horserace, he tops Romney on a number of key dimensions. His support is stronger than his rival’s, and is positive rather than negative. Mitt Romney’s backers are more ardent than they were pre-convention, but are still not as enthusiastic as Obama’s. Roughly half of Romney’s supporters say they are voting against Obama rather than for the Republican nominee. With the exception of Bill Clinton in 1992, candidates lacking mostly positive backing have lost in November.
Bill Clinton won 370 electoral votes in 1992, and 379 in 1996. As you can see, the President is likely on a similar course to reelection:

Wednesday Open Thread [9.19.12]
Clint Eastwood: “If somebody is dumb enough to ask me to go to political convention and say something, they’re gonna have to take what they get.”
The Polling Report [9.19.12]
The polling report officially goes meta: A new Washington Post-ABC News poll finds 46% of Americans hold favorable views of polls in general, and 47% have negative ones. My brain has officially malfunctioned…
Meanwhile, Romney’s outrageous and unAmerican Libya lies have done real damage:

Anyway, we have a lot of new polls, and they only change the shades of color on the map. Wisconsin finds a deeper shade of blue while New Hampshire is irritating in its preference for sky blue.

Tuesday Open Thread [9.18.12]
“All campaigns have their ups and downs, but the last three weeks for Mitt Romney have been about as brutal as we can remember for any presidential candidate, especially this close to the election. First, the biggest speech of Romney’s life got overshadowed by the Clint Eastwood stunt. Then came President Obama’s significant bounce in the polls after the two political conventions. After that, Romney found himself on the defensive for his reaction to embassy attacks in Egypt and Libya. Next, Politico reported about infighting and disorganization inside the Romney campaign. Finally, all of these events were capped off yesterday by the surreptitiously recorded video of Romney…”
“What is so potentially deadly about this video is the timing, because it comes as the Romney campaign was already viewed to be behind and in crisis. Back in late July, we wrote that the presidential contest had entered halftime with Obama leading, 14-13. Now after the 3rd Quarter (the Ryan pick, the conventions, and post-convention period), Obama has scored two uncontested touchdowns, bringing it to 28-13. And now we head to the 4th Quarter (the debates).”
The Polling Report [9.18.12]
More polling. Less days until the election. And the race remains the same: President Obama is a clear favorite in the swing states and in the electoral college. We have new polls out of Pennsylvania, Indiana, Kentucky, New Jersey, Wisconsin, and Virginia, and the polls just confirm what we had previously knew.
Here is the map, which is unchanged:








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